太平洋学报2018，Vol.26Issue(6)：57-67,11.DOI:10.14015/j.cnki.1004-8049.2018.6.005
菲律宾杜特尔特政府的南海政策及前景
Duterte Administration's Policy on the South China Sea and Its Prospect
摘要
Abstract
Since coming into power, the Duterte administration has actively adjusted its policy on the South China Sea.It is the combined effect of various factors, both internal and external environment, which rooted in the pragmatic and rational choice to realize the maximization of national interests. The Duterte ad-ministration still faces many constraints on implementing and advancing the current policy on the South Chi-na Sea, mainly including the domestic political pressure, the diplomatic pressure to seek a balance among major powers, and the pragmatic attitude towards the result of the South China Sea arbitration. With regard to the prospect of Duterte administration'policy on the South China Sea, it is closely related to the trend of Philippine domestic politics, the trend of US-Philippines relations and Japan-Philippines relations, as well as the trilateral interaction among China, the Philippines and the US. Therefore, China needs to pay close attention to, and carefully assess the trend of relevant situations in order to make a plan in time.关键词
杜特尔特政府/南海政策/中菲关系/美菲关系Key words
Duterte administration/policy on the South China Sea/China-Philippines relations/US-Phil-ippines relations分类
社会科学引用本文复制引用
李忠林..菲律宾杜特尔特政府的南海政策及前景[J].太平洋学报,2018,26(6):57-67,11.基金项目
本文系国家重点研发计划资助的国家科技部"海洋划界决策支持系统研发与应用"项目"周边海洋权益争端和战略利益博弈模型研究"(2017YFC1405503)、国家社科基金青年项目"南海安全合作机制研究"(16CGJ012)的阶段性成果. （2017YFC1405503）
