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中国车用能源需求和关键材料资源可获性分析

彭天铎 袁志逸 袁杰辉 朱旭峰 欧训民

中国工程科学2018,Vol.20Issue(1):127-132,6.
中国工程科学2018,Vol.20Issue(1):127-132,6.DOI:10.15302/J-SSCAE-2018.01.018

中国车用能源需求和关键材料资源可获性分析

Analysis on Vehicle Energy Demand and Key Mineral Resource Availability for Vehicle Production in China

彭天铎 1袁志逸 2袁杰辉 3朱旭峰 1欧训民2

作者信息

  • 1. 清华大学现代管理研究中心,北京 100084
  • 2. 清华大学能源环境经济研究所,北京 100084
  • 3. 清华大学中国车用能源研究中心,北京 100084
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

With the rapid growth in vehicle production, sales, and ownership, vehicle energy and key mineral resources for vehicle manufacture have become an important issue in China. This study predicts future vehicle ownership and analyzes the current situation in terms of utilization, technical development level, and development trend of vehicle energy and key mineral resources in China, by employing the Chinese vehicle ownership prediction model developed by the China Automotive Energy Research Center of Tsinghua University. The results indicate that China's vehicle ownership will continue to grow and the contradiction between the supply and demand of vehicle energy will be further highlighted. The mineral resource reserves, product performance, and technological level of vehicle materials in China need to be improved. Relevant policies are suggested to cope with the aforementioned challenges.

关键词

汽车保有量/车用能源/矿产资源/发展对策

Key words

vehicle ownership/vehicle energy/mineral resources/strategic countermeasures

分类

资源环境

引用本文复制引用

彭天铎,袁志逸,袁杰辉,朱旭峰,欧训民..中国车用能源需求和关键材料资源可获性分析[J].中国工程科学,2018,20(1):127-132,6.

基金项目

中国工程院咨询项目"汽车强国战略研究" (2015-XZ-36) (2015-XZ-36)

国家自然科学基金项目(71774095) (71774095)

中国清洁发展机制基金赠款项目(2014095) (2014095)

中国工程科学

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1009-1742

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