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辽宁省2013-2015年麻疹空间流行病学特征分析

安晓慧 韩悦 高志峰 姚文清

中国医科大学学报2018,Vol.47Issue(1):62-66,5.
中国医科大学学报2018,Vol.47Issue(1):62-66,5.DOI:10.12007/j.issn.02584646.2018.01.014

辽宁省2013-2015年麻疹空间流行病学特征分析

Spatial Analysis on Measles in Liaoning Province,China,2013-2015

安晓慧 1韩悦 2高志峰 3姚文清4

作者信息

  • 1. 辽宁省疾病预防控制中心免疫规划所, 沈阳 110005
  • 2. 辽宁省疾病预防控制中心科教科, 沈阳 110005
  • 3. 辽宁省动物疫病预防控制中心业务办公室, 沈阳 110164
  • 4. 辽宁省疾病预防控制中心, 沈阳 110005
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Objective To explore the spatial distribution of measles from 2013 through 2015 in Liaoning province,China and to provide references for measles control and prevention. Methods The GeoDa 1.4. 6 program was used to conduct exploratory spatial data analysis to identify the spatial distribution characteristics and pattern of measles in Liaoning province. Results The frequency analysis showed that the measles epidemic situation appeared to have significant positive skewing within 105 counties of Liaoning province in each year from 2013 through 2015. The global trend analysis indicated a balanced trend in 2013 and 2015,and that the high incidence measles areas were located in the eastern and northern provincial regions in 2014. The global Moran'sⅠwas 0.294 5,0.391 9,and 0.147 7,and general G values were 0.015 9,0.012 0,and 0.013 5,revealing a positive spatial autocorrelation and a high-high aggregation model for each year between 2013 and 2015. The local spatial autocorrelation analysis recognized 5 core areas and 25 hot-spot counties with a high incidence of the measles epidemic,mainly distributed in Shenyang,Fuxin,Tieling,Fushun,Benxi,Liaoyang,Panjin,and Huludao. Conclusion Measles cases were clustered geographically in Liaoning province from 2013 through 2015. Spatial epidemiology methods may offer insights for the epidemiologic study of measles.

关键词

麻疹/全局空间自相关/局部空间自相关/探索性空间数据分析

Key words

measles/global spatial autocorrelation/local spatial autocorrelation/exploratory spatial data analysis

分类

医药卫生

引用本文复制引用

安晓慧,韩悦,高志峰,姚文清..辽宁省2013-2015年麻疹空间流行病学特征分析[J].中国医科大学学报,2018,47(1):62-66,5.

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