中国石油大学学报（自然科学版）2018，Vol.42Issue(4)：1-10,10.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1673-5005.2018.04.001
石油行业发展趋势及中国对策研究
Development trends of oil industry and China's countermeasures
摘要
Abstract
By elaborating the current situation of oil price, oil market and oil company, the paper demonstrates that ＂oil is moving towards the sunset-industry＂and＂the brilliance of the oil industry may be no longer＂.However, oil is developing and eight changes are taking place in oil exploration and development, including from oil and gas reservoirs to source rocks, from trap to large area reservoir, from structural reservoirs to lithological reservoirs to unconventional continuous reservoirs, from high quality oil and gas resources to low quality reservoirs, from conventional hydrocarbon to unconventional hydrocar-bon, from middle depth layers to deep and ultra-deep layers, from shallow and middle depth sea to deep and ultra-deep sea, and from conventional zone to extreme zone.Oil still has strong vitality and the decline of oil industry will is a slow process. The brilliant era of oil maybe hard to reproduce and the world will come into the post oil era and the oil industry will start a new journey of transformation and upgrading.In the face of such current situation and trends, China should strive to maintain the stable oil production of 200 million tons for domestic oilfields, accelerate the development of oil and gas resources in South China Sea, develop domestic low grade oil and gas resources at low cost, improve the consciousness and consciousness of energy transformation, and quickly enter the field of alternative energy to seek transformation and development.关键词
石油价格/石油勘探开发趋势/非常规油气资源/后石油时代/对策/替代能源/转型升级Key words
price of oil/trends of petroleum exploration and development/unconventional oil & gas/post oil era/counter- measures/alternative energy/transformation and upgrading分类
能源科技引用本文复制引用
胡文瑞,鲍敬伟..石油行业发展趋势及中国对策研究[J].中国石油大学学报（自然科学版）,2018,42(4):1-10,10.基金项目
中国工程院重点咨询项目(2017-XY-14) （2017-XY-14）
