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优化的多变量变步长灰色模型及其在路基沉降预测中的应用

郝忠 付操 丁欣 李旭

路基工程Issue(3):55-61,68,8.
路基工程Issue(3):55-61,68,8.DOI:10.13379/j.issn.1003-8825.2018.03.12

优化的多变量变步长灰色模型及其在路基沉降预测中的应用

Optimized Multi-variable Non-equidistance Grey Model and Its Application on Prediction of Subgrade Settlement

郝忠 1付操 1丁欣 2李旭3

作者信息

  • 1. 镇江市建设工程安全监督站,江苏 镇江 212000
  • 2. 镇江市润州区建设工程管理处,江苏 镇江 212000
  • 3. 泰州市伟业建筑安装工程有限公司,江苏 泰州 310000
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The traditional single variable or equidistant grey prediction model does not take into account the system correlation between monitoring points and the actual settlement observation cycle often has unequal interval characteristics, which is not enough to reflect the actual law of subgrade settlement deformation. In consideration of the correlation between the settlement point of each section of the actual condition and the nonequidistance observation, a optimized NMGM(1, n) model for prediction of subgrade settlement is established. The analysis of an engineering example shows that the optimized model is suitable for the modeling conditions. It has good fitting and prediction accuracy and can meet the needs of practical engineering applications.

关键词

灰色模型/灰导数/背景值/初始条件/优化/沉降/预测

Key words

grey model/grey derivative/background value/initial conditions/optimization/settlement/prediction

分类

交通工程

引用本文复制引用

郝忠,付操,丁欣,李旭..优化的多变量变步长灰色模型及其在路基沉降预测中的应用[J].路基工程,2018,(3):55-61,68,8.

路基工程

1003-8825

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