气候变化研究进展2018，Vol.14Issue(3)：287-294,8.DOI:10.12006/j.issn.1673-1719.2017.102
中国森林乔木林碳储量及其固碳潜力预测
Carbon storage and carbon sequestration potential of the forest in China
摘要
Abstract
To strengthen the research of forest carbon storage and carbon sequestration potential, which is an important basis for the development of China''s policy of increasing carbon sequestration, plays an important role in climate change negotiations and comprehensive understanding of carbon sequestration potential in China. Based on the 7th (2004-2008) and 8th (2009-2013) national forest inventory data of China, IPCC volumebiomass method was used to estimate the carbon storage and carbon density of China''s provinces. The variations and age group characteristics of the carbon storage and carbon density were analyzed in the natural forest and artificial forest in China. The accumulation of per unit area-age groups logistic growth equation model was established different regions and different dominant species. Combined with the growth target of the forest area and accumulation in 2020 and 2030 in China, the future carbon sequestration potential was predicted. The main conclusions are as follows:The total carbon storage of forests in China is 6135. 68 Tg, and the carbon density is37. 28The carbon storage of natural forest and plantation is 5246. 07 Tg and 889. 61 Tg, which account for85. 50％and 14. 50％of total carbon storage, respectively. By 2050, carbon storage and carbon density of forest in China will reach 11125. 76 Tg and 52. 52increasing by 81％and 41％, respectively compared with 2010. The results show that China''s forest has a great carbon sequestration potential, and will play an important role in combating and mitigating global climate change.关键词
森林碳储量/材积源生物量法/采伐情景/碳汇潜力Key words
Forest carbon storage/Volume-biomass method/Logging scenarios/Carbon sequestration potential引用本文复制引用
李奇,朱建华,冯源,肖文发..中国森林乔木林碳储量及其固碳潜力预测[J].气候变化研究进展,2018,14(3):287-294,8.基金项目
中央级公益性科研院所基本科研业务费专项资金 (CAFRIFEEP201503) （CAFRIFEEP201503）
