电力系统及其自动化学报2019，Vol.31Issue(2)：106-111,6.DOI:10.19635/j.cnki.csu-epsa.000124
自下而上的主动配电网负荷曲线化预测方法
Bottom-to-top Load Curve Forecasting Method for Active Distribution Network
李颖 1张跃 1吴琳 2赵景涛 2尹宏旭3
作者信息
- 1. 广东电网有限责任公司,广州 510620
- 2. 国电南瑞科技股份有限公司,南京 211106
- 3. 国电南瑞科技股份有限公司,南京 211106
- 折叠
摘要
Abstract
With the consideration of the influence of flexible load on load forecasting,a bottom-to-top load curve fore?casting method for active distribution network is put forward in this paper. First,the area to be forecasted is divided into several units according to the land usage property and function boundary,and the load demand of each unit is divided into two types,i.e.,rigid load demand and flexible load demand. Then,the curve regulation models for two flexible loads,i.e.,transferable load and adjustable load,are established,which are further used to simulate the regulation ef?fect of flexible load on the overall load demand under the active management strategy. Finally,the load on each unit of the area to be forecasted is superimposed,thus the load demand curve in the management mode of active distribution network is obtained. The effectiveness of the proposed forecasting model and method is verified by the load curve fore?casting result of one development zone in Beijing.关键词
主动配电网/柔性负荷/负荷预测/负荷曲线评价Key words
active distribution network/flexible load/load forecasting/load curve evaluation分类
信息技术与安全科学引用本文复制引用
李颖,张跃,吴琳,赵景涛,尹宏旭..自下而上的主动配电网负荷曲线化预测方法[J].电力系统及其自动化学报,2019,31(2):106-111,6.
