集美大学学报（自然科学版）2019，Vol.24Issue(1)：31-36,6.DOI:10.19715/j.jmuzr.2019.01.05
基于组合模型的厦门港集装箱吞吐量预测
Container Throughput Prediction of Xiamen Port Based on Combinatorial Model
摘要
Abstract
In order to predict the future development of container throughput of Xiamen Port with high precision, a model combining the Grey Verhulst with Markov is used to establish the forecasting model, and the container throughput data of Xiamen Port from 2018 to 2022 are obtained. The results show that the combined model reduces the average relative error from 3. 74％ to 1. 65％ and the prediction accuracy is Level one. The prediction results have higher reliability and can be used as a reference for the planning of container development in Xiamen Port.关键词
集装箱吞吐量/灰色Verhulst/马尔科夫模型/厦门港Key words
containert throughput/grey verhulst model/markov model/Xiamen Port分类
交通工程引用本文复制引用
汪强,刘晓佳,闫长健,张荀..基于组合模型的厦门港集装箱吞吐量预测[J].集美大学学报（自然科学版）,2019,24(1):31-36,6.基金项目
福建省教育厅项目 (JT180260) （JT180260）
