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基于突变理论的工业园区环境风险评价

邓长涛 严超君 董菁

陕西水利Issue(6):98-101,4.
陕西水利Issue(6):98-101,4.

基于突变理论的工业园区环境风险评价

Environmental Risk Assessment of Industrial Park Area Based on CatastropheTheory

邓长涛 1严超君 2董菁2

作者信息

  • 1. 珠江水利科学研究院,广东 广州 510611
  • 2. 南昌大学,江西 南昌 330031
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

To improve the shortcomings of oneness of current environmental risk assessment methods and being easily influenced by subjective factors, the catastrophe theory was introduced to establish a multi-parameter integrated index system for environmental risk assessment in the industrial park area based on the catastrophe progression method. Moreover, the proposed index system has been employed for the environmental risk assessment in Xiaolan industrial park. The results show that the 14 sensitive enterprises are all in a general or higher safety levels, among which, 9 enterprises are in the general safety level (A∈[0.9538-0.9738)), 3 enterprisesare in the safetylevel (A∈[0.9538-0.9738)), and the other2 enterprisesare in the high safetylevel (A∈[0.9884-1]).Inaddition, the9 enterprisesinthegeneralsafetylevelandtheenterpriseatthe minimumrisk value (NanchangJinshachemicalrawmaterialsco., LTD) aretakenasthefocusandthetoppriorityofriskmanagement, respectively.

关键词

突变级数法/指标体系/工业园区/环境风险评价

Key words

Catastrophe progression method/index system/the industrial park area and the environmental risk assessment

分类

资源环境

引用本文复制引用

邓长涛,严超君,董菁..基于突变理论的工业园区环境风险评价[J].陕西水利,2018,(6):98-101,4.

基金项目

江西省自然科学基金项目 (20114BAB203023) (20114BAB203023)

陕西水利

1673-9000

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