水资源保护2019，Vol.35Issue(1)：52-55,69,5.DOI:10.3880/j.issn.1004-6933.2019.01.010
基于ARMA模型的水环境承载力超载预警研究
Research on overload warning of water environment carrying capacity based on ARMA model
摘要
Abstract
Based on ARMA (auto regressive moving average) model, an overload warning model of water environment carrying capacity was developed. By using the national water environment data from 2001 to 2014, the overload status of water environment carrying capacity from 2015 to 2017 was studied. The results showed that the comprehensive index of overload state of water environmental carrying capacity was 1. 39 in 2016, which may cause alarm. It is suggested that measures such as increasing the number of sewage treatment equipment, reducing COD and ammonia nitrogen emissions should be taken to prevent the occurrence of alarm.关键词
水环境承载力/ARMA模型/超载预警Key words
water environment carrying capacity/ARMA model/overload warning分类
资源环境引用本文复制引用
刘丹,王烜,曾维华,李春晖,蔡宴朋..基于ARMA模型的水环境承载力超载预警研究[J].水资源保护,2019,35(1):52-55,69,5.基金项目
"十三五"国家重点研发计划(2017YFC0404505,2016YFC0401302) （2017YFC0404505,2016YFC0401302）
国家自然科学基金(51679008) （51679008）
