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贝叶斯神经网络在股票时间序列预测中的应用

刘恒 侯越

计算机工程与应用2019,Vol.55Issue(12):225-229,1,6.
计算机工程与应用2019,Vol.55Issue(12):225-229,1,6.DOI:10.3778/j.issn.1002-8331.1803-0400

贝叶斯神经网络在股票时间序列预测中的应用

Application of Bayesian Neural Network in Prediction of Stock Time Series

刘恒 1侯越1

作者信息

  • 1. 兰州交通大学 电子与信息工程学院,兰州 730070
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摘要

Abstract

In view of the problem of being apt to fall into local optimum caused by stochastic acquisition of initial weights of BP neural network, Bayesian Regularization(BR)algorithm is used to improve the traditional BP neural net-work model. The algorithm can adjust the fitness function of the BP model through the prior probability of historical data on the premise of ensuring the minimum network error, so that the generalization ability of the network is improved. The empirical study on stock time series forecasting shows that the prediction accuracy is 42.81% higher than that of the tradi-tional BP model.

关键词

贝叶斯正则化/神经网络/股票时间序列预测

Key words

Bayesian Regularization(BR)/ neural network/ stock time series prediction

分类

信息技术与安全科学

引用本文复制引用

刘恒,侯越..贝叶斯神经网络在股票时间序列预测中的应用[J].计算机工程与应用,2019,55(12):225-229,1,6.

基金项目

甘肃省教育厅项目(No.2016B-027). (No.2016B-027)

计算机工程与应用

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1002-8331

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