煤矿安全2019，Vol.50Issue(9)：168-173,6.DOI:10.13347/j.cnki.mkaq.2019.09.042
煤与瓦斯突出区域预测瓦斯地质方法的可靠性预计
Reliability Prediction of Gas Geological Methods for Coal and Gas Outburst Region Prediction
王子健 1程五一1
作者信息
- 1. 中国地质大学(北京)工程技术学院,北京100083
- 折叠
摘要
Abstract
To quantitatively evaluate the reliability of gas geological methods for predicting coal and gas outburst areas, based on the assumption that the prediction model is correct, the uncertainty of prediction index is quantitatively described by uncertainty of measurement, combined with the reliability theory, the reliability prediction method of gas geological method for coal and gas outburst region prediction is proposed. The uncertainty of prediction index is increased to explore the influence of fluctuation of uncertainty of prediction index on the reliability of prediction results. The results show that when the uncertainty of prediction index increases, the reliability of prediction results decreases. To ensure that the prediction method maintains at a high level of reliability, the stability of the obtained index data should be guaranteed.关键词
区域预测/可靠性预计/测量不确定度/煤与瓦斯/瓦斯地质Key words
regional prediction/reliability prediction/measurement uncertainty/coal and gas/gas geology分类
矿业与冶金引用本文复制引用
王子健,程五一..煤与瓦斯突出区域预测瓦斯地质方法的可靠性预计[J].煤矿安全,2019,50(9):168-173,6.
