东南大学学报（英文版）2020，Vol.36Issue(1)：107-117,11.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1003-7985.2020.01.014
海上运输过程人类疲劳致因及情景分析
The cause of human fatigue and scenario analysis in the process of marine transportation
摘要
Abstract
The framework of fatigue factors is constructed to reduce the number of maritime accidents caused by human fatigue. Based on the study of maritime human fatigue, by screening and classifying it, there are 15 fatigue factors, which can be classified into 4 types: sleep, rest and rhythm;work factors; personal conditions; environmental factors. These factors are regarded as the variables for constructing scenarios. The importance, uncertainty, influence and dependence of variables and variable pairs were assessed by using morphological analysis, quantitative scales and correlation matrices. Ship movement and workload are selected as the two key variables, which are regarded as the axes of generating scenarios. One of the scenarios is selected as the typical scenario to illustrate the relationship between the causes of fatigue. Then, the analysis framework is constructed according to the fatigue factors relationship, and several potential solutions are proposed, which include the development of foresighted and flexible work plans, and the application of wearable facilities to improve monitoring and assessment systems. The proposed framework lays a theoretical foundation for studying maritime human fatigue, and scenario analysis can provide an effective strategy for reducing crews' fatigue.关键词
海事事故/人类疲劳/疲劳因素/情景分析/情景构建/形态分析Key words
maritime accident/human fatigue/fatigue factor/scenario analysis/scenario construction/morphological analy-sis分类
交通工程引用本文复制引用
潘恒毅..海上运输过程人类疲劳致因及情景分析[J].东南大学学报（英文版）,2020,36(1):107-117,11.基金项目
The National Natural Science Foundation of China ( No. 71573172, 51709168) . （ No. 71573172, 51709168）
