经济与管理研究2023,Vol.44Issue(12):3-23,21.DOI:10.13502/j.cnki.issn1000-7636.2023.12.001
数字产业化的结构转型效应研究
Structural Transformation Effect of Digital Industrialization
摘要
Abstract
As the foundation and driver of the development of the digital economy,digital industrialization is a realistic manifestation of promoting the development of emerging industrial clusters with digital technology as the core.It is becoming an important starting point for the construction of a modern industrial system.Thus,this paper intends to investigate the potential impact of digital industrialization on the industrial structure transformation. This paper constructs a multi-sector general equilibrium model to elaborate the underlying mechanism.The numerical simulation reveals that when the elasticity of substitution of digital products and manufactured products,and production factors in manufacturing is high,and that of digital products and traditional service products is low,digital industrialization will promote service-oriented industrial structure transformation by improving the real output of goods sector and the capital intensity of manufacturing,and increasing the employment proportion and nominal output share of the service industry. Then,the panel data of 30 provincial-level regions in China from 2005 to 2020 is used to conduct an empirical test.It is found that digital industrialization will improve the productivity level of the industrial sector,promote the transfer of labor factors to the service sector,increase the output share of the service sector continuously,and advance the industrial structure transformation.This conclusion still holds after a series of robustness tests.The heterogeneity test reveals that digital industrialization increases the proportion of the service industry in the more developed regions.However,in the less developed regions,it shows the latter advantages of material abundance and the shift of employment to services.Furthermore,the promotion effect of digital industrialization on industrial structure transformation is more obvious after 2013.The mechanism test shows that the market mechanism and industrial interaction are the key channels for this promotion effect. The following four aspects are proposed to explore the potential of digital industrialization and build China's modern industrial system better.First,it should focus on tackling the frontiers and the key core technologies of digital technology and grasp the autonomy of digital industrialization.Second,the servitization of industrial structure needs to be based on the continuous improvement of material productivity and should pay attention to the quality of development of the service industry and the proportion of industry while focusing on the increase in the service industry.Third,it should grasp the opportunities brought by the digital economy for labor allocation,attach importance to the quality and structure optimization of human capital,and plan for the labor transfer to the service industry in advance.Fourth,it should promote the integration and interaction between digital and traditional industries,make full use of the market to allocate resources,and lay emphasis on classified policies.关键词
数字产业化/产业结构转型/市场机制/产业互动/资本深化Key words
digital industrialization/industrial structure transformation/market mechanism/industrial interaction/capital deepening分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
艾阳,宋培,李琳..数字产业化的结构转型效应研究[J].经济与管理研究,2023,44(12):3-23,21.基金项目
国家社会科学基金重大项目"大国经济条件下构建自主可控的现代产业体系重大问题研究"(21&ZD099) (21&ZD099)
南开大学文科发展基金重点项目"数字化与'鲍莫尔成本病'——理论反思与现实考察"(ZB22BZ0105) (ZB22BZ0105)