能源研究与管理2023，Vol.15Issue(4)：52-57,105,7.DOI:10.16056/j.2096-7705.2023.04.009
江西省县域级城市碳达峰路径分析
Analysis of Carbon Peaking Paths in County Level Cities in Jiangxi Province
摘要
Abstract
In order to assist county-level cities in smoothly promoting carbon peaking work,this article takes a county in Jiangxi province,which is an energy output type,as a case study.By analyzing its energy development,consumption,and carbon emissions status,and based on the long range energy alternatives planning(LEAP)model,constructing carbon peaking benchmarks,peaking,and low-carbon scenarios,the implementation path of county-level carbon peaking is studied.The results show that counties with abundant renewable resources cannot reach their peak on schedule without policy intervention under the baseline scenario.In the peak scenario,it can reach its peak by 2030,with a focus on three key sectors including industry and service industry,as well as two types of energy sources including electricity and diesel.This requires the development of intelligent microgrids that mainly consume renewable energy and the implementation of"new energy+energy storage"throughout the county Attracting and referencing projects such as the National Radio and Television University to enhance the capacity for green electricity consumption,prioritizing the development of green and low-carbon industries such as bioenergy substitution for fossil fuel projects,renewable energy industry chains,and advocating for green and low-carbon lifestyle habits to reach peak paths.Based on the actual situation in the county,a carbon peak implementation path that conforms to the characteristics is proposed,which can provide reference for county-level cities to successfully achieve the"dual carbon"goals.关键词
碳达峰/县域/能源输出/LEAP模型/江西省Key words
carbon peak/county level/energy output/long range energy alternatives planning(LEAP)model/Jiangxi province分类
能源科技引用本文复制引用
张贵香,才瀚涛,吴晓方,孙李媛,顾倩倩,谢运生..江西省县域级城市碳达峰路径分析[J].能源研究与管理,2023,15(4):52-57,105,7.基金项目
江西省重点研发计划重点项目(20212BBG71015) （20212BBG71015）
江西省社会科学"十四五"(2023年)基金项目(23GL22) （2023年）
江西省科学院院包干制试点示范项目重点研发计划项目江西省钢铁行业碳排放达峰预测研究(2021YSBG21023) （2021YSBG21023）
江西省管理科学项目"更高标准打造美丽中国'江西样板'的调查研究"(20222BAA10W08) （20222BAA10W08）
