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内蒙古主要气象灾害预警信息发布时效性评估模型研究

张立莉 吕明辉 隋剑利 张晓美

科技创新与应用2024,Vol.14Issue(2):11-15,5.
科技创新与应用2024,Vol.14Issue(2):11-15,5.DOI:10.19981/j.CN23-1581/G3.2024.02.003

内蒙古主要气象灾害预警信息发布时效性评估模型研究

张立莉 1吕明辉 2隋剑利 1张晓美2

作者信息

  • 1. 内蒙古自治区气象服务中心,呼和浩特 010051
  • 2. 中国气象局公共气象服务中心,北京 100081
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

This paper analyzes the types and impact characteristics of the main meteorological disasters in Inner Mongolia in recent decades,the possible harm degree,emergency degree and development situation of the main meteorological disasters,as well as the issuing standards of related meteorological disaster risk warning.Based on the data of meteorological early warning information release in Inner Mongolia in 2021,statistical analysis and chart comparison are used to analyze and compare the temporal and spatial distribution of meteorological disasters and disaster loss distribution in Inner Mongolia.The validity of early warning information release is tested and evaluated.The results show that the release of early warning information is basically consistent with the temporal and spatial distribution of meteorological disasters.Through the research on the timeliness of the release and dissemination of early warning information,this paper establishes a new applicable mathematical model,explores a more objective quantitative analysis and evaluation method,and directly reflects the delivery rate of the existing release channels.To provide scientific reference for the improvement and improvement of the release strategy.

关键词

气象灾害/分布特征/有效性/定量分析/时效性

Key words

meteorological disaster/distribution characteristics/effectiveness/quantitative analysis/timeliness

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

张立莉,吕明辉,隋剑利,张晓美..内蒙古主要气象灾害预警信息发布时效性评估模型研究[J].科技创新与应用,2024,14(2):11-15,5.

基金项目

国家重点研发计划重点专项项目课题(2018YFC1507804) (2018YFC1507804)

国家重点研发计划重点专项项目课题(2018YFC0807004) (2018YFC0807004)

中国气象局"国家突发事件预警信息发布能力提升工程(一期)"(无编号) (一期)

内蒙古自治区气象局科研项目(nmqxkjcx202321) (nmqxkjcx202321)

中国国家铁路集团有限公司科技研究开发计划重点课题(N2021G002) (N2021G002)

科技创新与应用

2095-2945

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