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河南"21.7"极端暴雨的研究进展

姚秀萍 李若莹

气象学报2023,Vol.81Issue(6):853-865,13.
气象学报2023,Vol.81Issue(6):853-865,13.DOI:10.11676/qxxb2023.20230038

河南"21.7"极端暴雨的研究进展

Progress in research of the July 2021 extreme precipitation event in Henan province,China

姚秀萍 1李若莹2

作者信息

  • 1. 中国气象局气象干部培训学院,北京,100081
  • 2. 中国气象科学研究院灾害天气国家重点实验室,北京,100081
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

From 17 to 22 July 2021,an extremely heavy rainstorm occurred in Henan province,China,causing severe casualties and property damages.This rainstorm is named as"21.7"extreme rainstorm.The"21.7"extreme rainstorm has attracted great attention of many scholars,and significant progress was made with nearly 100 studies of this flood in less than two years.The present study reviews recent research progresses in characteristics of the"21.7"extreme rainstorm,including influencing weather systems and their mechanisms,the effects of underlying surface and climate warming and numerical forecast,etc.These progresses are compared with research progresses of the"75.8"heavy rainstorm.Results indicate that compared with the"75.8"heavy rainstorm,finer characteristics of rainfall and mesoscale and microscale systems in the"21.7"extreme rainstorm have been revealed due to the development of observation technology and the improvement of research methods,particularly in terms of microphysical processes.Among these findings,the dynamic process of coupling enhancement between mesoscale convective system and mesoscale convective vortex and the microphysical process of simultaneous growth of various scale particles promoted by melting of hail particles in the"21.7"extreme rainfall process are important findings.The"21.7"extreme rainstorm was more strongly influenced by tropical and oceanic factors.With global warming,the"21.7"extreme rainstorm showed a more pronounced response to tropical atmospheric circulation and ocean than the"75.8"heavy rainstorm,which may result in more extreme hourly rainfall during the"21.7"extreme rainstorm.However,urban impact on the"21.7"extreme rainstorm is complex.It is challenging to distinguish urban impact from global warming signals,which increases the uncertainty regarding the mechanism of the"21.7"extreme rainstorm.Finally,directions of future research are discussed.

关键词

"21.7"极端暴雨/研究进展/机制/数值模式/"75.8"特大暴雨

Key words

"21.7"extreme rainstorm/Research progress/Mechanism of rainstorm/Numerical model/"75.8"heavy rainstorm

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

姚秀萍,李若莹..河南"21.7"极端暴雨的研究进展[J].气象学报,2023,81(6):853-865,13.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金项目(42275013、42030611、42175008)、灾害天气国家重点实验室开放课题(2021LASW-B17). (42275013、42030611、42175008)

气象学报

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

0577-6619

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