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华南前汛期一次锋前暖区暴雨成因及中尺度对流系统分析

张兰 陈炳洪 张东 魏蕾 杨慧燕 余锐

热带气象学报2023,Vol.39Issue(5):697-710,14.
热带气象学报2023,Vol.39Issue(5):697-710,14.DOI:10.16032/j.issn.1004-4965.2023.061

华南前汛期一次锋前暖区暴雨成因及中尺度对流系统分析

ANALYSIS OF CAUSATION AND THE MESO-SCALE CONVECTIVE SYSTEMS IN A STRONG HEAVY RAINFALL IN WARM SECTOR AHEAD OF FRONTS IN SOUTH CHINA

张兰 1陈炳洪 1张东 2魏蕾 1杨慧燕 1余锐3

作者信息

  • 1. 广州市气象台,广东 广州 511430
  • 2. 广东省气象台,广东 广州 510641
  • 3. 三水区气象局,广东 佛山 528100
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The evolution of three mesoscale convective systems(MCS),i.e.,MCS-A,MCS-B,MCS-C,experienced multiple division and reorganization,resulting in a heavy rainfall in the warm sector ahead of fronts in Southern China on 27 March 2020,which sustained for more than 15 hours.The synoptic background,organization modes and initiation conditions of MCS are analyzed by using surface automatic meteorological stations data,Doppler weather radar data,ERA-Interim reanalysis data and mesoscale CMA-GD model data.The results are shown as follows.(1)Favorable configuration and stable circulation systems,including a 500 hPa upper-level trough,a 200 hPa westerly jet and a frontal trough are important reasons for long-term maintenance of the warm-sector heavy rainfall.The low-level jet provides conditional instability and convective available potential energy for the generation and development of convection.(2)The convection in key region 1 from Hezhou to Huaiji was triggered on the ground with the decrease of the level of free convection and the reduction of CIN energy.The interaction between wind speed convergence at the height of 1500 m and a cool pool in key region 2 80 km away from key region 1 resulted in the convection.(3)MCS-A and MCS-B are modulated into forward and backward propagation in key region 1,while MCS-C is modulated into backward propagation in key region 2.The convective cells of all three MCSs form echo"train band effects".In addition,both MCS-B and MCS-C form several short and parallel convective rainbands in a nearly N-S direction triggering eastward"train band effects".MCS-A and MCS-B split again into short and parallel convective rainbands in a nearly NE-SW direction triggering southeastward"train band effects".(4)The warm and humid southwesterly flow on the left side of the meso-β-scale secondary circulation is lifted,releasing latent heat and triggering convection.The interaction of the cold outflow resulting from the drag effect of heavy precipitation formed a downdraft below 850 hPa and a warm inflow on the west side near the surface was conductive to new convection,which was the development mechanism of the backward propagation.(5)Forward propagation was caused by the convergence between the cold pool outflow,which was formed on the ground after the genesis of upstream MCSs,and the warm moist flow.

关键词

暖区暴雨/中尺度对流系统/前向传播/列车效应/冷池

Key words

warm-sector heavy rainfall/mesoscale convective system(MCS)/forward propagation/train effect/cool pool

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

张兰,陈炳洪,张东,魏蕾,杨慧燕,余锐..华南前汛期一次锋前暖区暴雨成因及中尺度对流系统分析[J].热带气象学报,2023,39(5):697-710,14.

基金项目

国家自然基金(42075190、41875182) (42075190、41875182)

广东省重点领域研发项目(2020B1111200001) (2020B1111200001)

广东省自然基金(2020A1515010602) (2020A1515010602)

广东省智能网格预报技术团队 ()

广东省气象局科技项目(GRMC2019M25) (GRMC2019M25)

广州市科技计划项目(201903010101)共同资助 (201903010101)

热带气象学报

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1004-4965

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