人民长江2023,Vol.54Issue(12):15-23,9.DOI:10.16232/j.cnki.1001-4179.2023.12.003
丹江口水库汛期优化调度实践及风险效益分析
Practice of optimized flood control operation and risk-benefit analysis for Danjiangkou Reservoir during flood season
摘要
Abstract
In 2021,the Danjiangkou Reservoir over fulfilled the water supply plan through optimal scheduling for the first time,firstly storing to a water level of 170 m.Focusing on the problems exposed in the practice of reservoir operation since the water supply of the Middle Route of the South-to-North Water Transfer Project,and combined with the optimal scheduling plan at dif-ferent stages of the year,this paper analyzed and summarized the experience of Danjiangkou Reservoir scheduling during the flood season in 2021.For the risks brought by optimal scheduling,this paper proposed to use the water level at Hankou Station as a ref-erence condition for starting pre-release scheduling,pay close attention to water and rainfall forecasts,and use upstream reser-voirs to control the Danjiangkou Reservoir inflow.At the same time,the paper highlighted various suggestions to enhance flood control scheduling in the Hanjiang River,such as improving the forecast accuracy and extending the forecasting period,lowering the water level at the onset of the flood season,and refining the flood control level in the autumn flood season.The research can provide support for improving the flood control scheduling of the Hanjiang River basin.关键词
防洪风险效益分析/防洪调度/优化调度/丹江口水库/汉江洪水Key words
flood risk-benefit analysis/flood control scheduling/optimal scheduling/Danjiangkou Reservoir/Hanjiang River floods分类
建筑与水利引用本文复制引用
任金秋,董付强,洪兴骏,饶光辉,张利升..丹江口水库汛期优化调度实践及风险效益分析[J].人民长江,2023,54(12):15-23,9.基金项目
国家重点研发计划项目(2022YFC3202805) (2022YFC3202805)
中国长江三峡集团有限公司科研项目(0704184) (0704184)