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降雨-径流关系非一致性演化的驱动因素诊断

李同方 张洪波 赵孝威 杨志芳 张雨柔 冶兆霞 薛超伟

水力发电学报2023,Vol.42Issue(12):35-47,13.
水力发电学报2023,Vol.42Issue(12):35-47,13.DOI:10.11660/slfdxb.20231204

降雨-径流关系非一致性演化的驱动因素诊断

Identification of primary causes of inconsistent evolution of rainfall-runoff relationship.Case study of Wei River basin

李同方 1张洪波 2赵孝威 1杨志芳 1张雨柔 1冶兆霞 1薛超伟1

作者信息

  • 1. 长安大学 水利与环境学院,西安 710054
  • 2. 长安大学 水利与环境学院,西安 710054||旱区地下水文与生态效应教育部重点实验室(长安大学),西安 710054||水利部旱区生态水文与水安全重点实验室(长安大学),西安 710054
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Rainfall-runoff relationship is crucial in characterizing a watershed's capability to generate runoff.Links between rainfall and runoff have changed inconsistently as a result of the coupling effects of climate change,underlying surface change,and human activities;and the effects of these elements need to be assessed.This paper presents a method for identifying and estimating the driving factors of the rainfall-runoff inconsistency relationship,and quantifies the contribution of meteorological factors,underlying surface conditions,and human activities.This method integrates detrended cross-correlation analysis and detrended partial cross-correlation analysis.The findings demonstrate it has strong application to inconsistent series.In the Wei River basin,human activities,with an average contribution rate of 58.86%,have the greatest influence on the rainfall-runoff relationship,followed by the meteorological factors,while the underlying surface conditions have the least impact.The impact of human activities on the rainfall-runoff relationship in this basin generally takes a continuous growing trend in the time domain,while spatially its degree can be listed in a decreasing order:the upper and middle reaches of the mainstream of the Wei River basin>the Jing River basin>the Beiluo River basin.

关键词

驱动因素诊断/降雨-径流关系/非一致性演化/贡献率/渭河流域

Key words

cause analysis/rainfall-runoff relationship/inconsistency/contribution rate/Wei River basin

分类

地球科学

引用本文复制引用

李同方,张洪波,赵孝威,杨志芳,张雨柔,冶兆霞,薛超伟..降雨-径流关系非一致性演化的驱动因素诊断[J].水力发电学报,2023,42(12):35-47,13.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金(51979005) (51979005)

陕西省自然科学基础研究计划(2022JC-LHJJ-03) (2022JC-LHJJ-03)

中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金(300102293201) (300102293201)

水力发电学报

OACSCDCSTPCD

1003-1243

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