铁道运输与经济2023，Vol.45Issue(12)：131-139,9.DOI:10.16668/j.cnki.issn.1003-1421.2023.12.17
基于系统动力学视角的成渝供应链枢纽对区域经济发展影响研究
Influence of Chengdu-Chongqing Supply Chain Hub on Regional Economic Development from the Perspective of System Dynamics
摘要
Abstract
Chengdu and Chongqing are key bearing cities of the national logistics hub,and accelerating the formation of supply chain hubs for a wider market is of significance to enhancing the sustainable growth of the Chengdu-Chongqing economic circle.By employing the theory and model of system dynamics,this paper explored the influence of supply chain hub on economic development from the three dimensions of logistics supply and demand,industrial structure,and GDP.The research results are as follows.①The supply chain hub will continuously improve the logistics supply capacity and logistics demands in the Chengdu-Chongqing region.②The proportion decrease in the primary industry and the increase in the secondary and tertiary industries will lead to growing logistics demands.③After the total regional GDP increases by 10%,logistics demands rise at an average annual rate of 11.56%.④The self-growth coefficient of logistics capacity has a significant positive effect on the logistics supply capacity.⑤From 2020 to 2022,the influence of the Chengdu-Chongqing supply chain hub on regional GDP will increase by an annual average of 13.43%,while from 2023 to 2025,it will increase by an annual average of 9.78%.Finally,the operation suggestions for the Chengdu-Chongqing supply chain hub were proposed from three aspects of promoting the transportation development,adjusting the industrial structure,and building the hub economy.关键词
成渝地区/供应链枢纽/区域物流/区域经济/系统动力学Key words
Chengdu-Chongqing Region/Supply Chain Hub/Regional Logistics/Regional Economy/System Dynamics分类
交通工程引用本文复制引用
王成,杨馨梅,施莉..基于系统动力学视角的成渝供应链枢纽对区域经济发展影响研究[J].铁道运输与经济,2023,45(12):131-139,9.基金项目
四川省哲学社会科学规划项目(SC20EZD008) （SC20EZD008）
