沙漠与绿洲气象2023,Vol.17Issue(6):23-31,9.DOI:10.12057/j.issn.1002-0799.2023.06.004
贵阳地区气候季节变化对心脑血管发病人数占比的影响研究
The Influence of Seasonal Changes of Climate on the Proportion of Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Patients in Guiyang City
摘要
Abstract
Using the daily meteorological observation data of eight ground stations of Guiyang City from 1961 to 2020,it was divided into seasonal climates and its seasonal drift phenomenon was analyzed according to the climate seasonal division standard of Chinese Meteorological Industry(QX/T152-2012).The change of human comfort level in Guiyang area was also analyzed by the human comfort calculation method based on the"golden ratio".Then combining with the outpatient data on the incidence of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases in Guiyang from 2016 to 2020,the impact of local climate,seasonal drift and comfort level changes on the proportion of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases were explored.The results showed that:(1)The start and end time of spring showed an early trend,and the start and end time of autumn had a backward trend in Guiyang city,resulting the time in summer was gradually increasing,and the time in winter was gradually shortening.From the perspective of the interdecadal,summer increased from 44 d to 76 d and winter shortened from 130 d to 100 d.There was no significant change in length in spring and autumn,but there was drift in time period.The start time drift was 16.3%and the end time drift was 18.3%in spring,the start time drift was 25.6%and the end time drift was 14.6%in autumn.(2)The daily proportion of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases was 0.24%in Guiyang,and the daily proportion of winter cases was 0.31%.With the increase of summer length and shortening of winter length caused by climate warming,the proportion of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases was-1.62%in Guiyang.The effect of the changing of the number of days with different comfort levels on cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases was-0.87%.These all showed that the changes in climate season and comfort level caused by global warming had a reducing effect on the proportion of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases in Guiyang.关键词
贵阳地区/气候季节漂移/人体舒适度/心脑血管疾病/降低效应Key words
Guiyang city/climate seasonal drift/human comfort/cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases/the effect of reducing分类
天文与地球科学引用本文复制引用
瞿冲,王式功,李河利,周婕,郭勇,丁立国,尹立,贺前艳,陆美静..贵阳地区气候季节变化对心脑血管发病人数占比的影响研究[J].沙漠与绿洲气象,2023,17(6):23-31,9.基金项目
2021年度贵州省科技支撑计划项目(黔科合支撑[2021]一般388) (黔科合支撑[2021]一般388)
2021年省级科技计划转移支付专项资金项目(21ZYZF-S-01) (21ZYZF-S-01)
攀枝花市科学技术局创新中心建设项目(2021ZX-5-1) (2021ZX-5-1)
中国气象局西南区域气象中心创新团队基金(XNQYCXTD-202203) (XNQYCXTD-202203)
2021年度第二批攀枝花市市级科技计划项目(2021CY-S-4) (2021CY-S-4)