西南石油大学学报（社会科学版）2023，Vol.25Issue(6)：1-12,12.DOI:10.11885/j.issn.1674-5094.2023.02.08.03
基于多重影响因素的天然气需求预测研究
Natural Gas Demand Prediction Based on Multiple Influencing Factors
贺志明 1袁灿 1罗学渊 1任雨涵 2罗小利1
作者信息
- 1. 中国石油西南油气田分公司天然气经济研究所,四川成都610041
- 2. 中国石油西南油气田分公司营销部,四川成都610041
- 折叠
摘要
Abstract
The effect analysis of natural gas demand factors plays an important role in predicting market demand and energy market stability at the enterprise level.Based on the natural gas marketing data of Southwest Oil and Gas Field Company,this paper analyzes the effect of various influencing factors and the heterogeneity of the industry using a multi-factor regression model.The results show that there are overall differences and industry heterogeneity in the effects of various influencing factors.When studying and judging the key factors affecting demand,enterprises should focus on factors like the market price of civil natural gas,the price difference between prices of urban gas use and supply,natural gas supply price,market price of industrial natural gas.Energy enterprises should build intelligent marketing management strategies based on complex scenarios,strengthen the prediction and risk response capabilities,and promote the high-quality development,so as to promote the healthy operation of China's energy industry,and serve the top-level design of national energy security.关键词
天然气需求/能源风险/能源安全/营销策略/多因素回归模型Key words
natural gas demand/energy risk/energy security/marketing strategy/multi-factor regression model分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
贺志明,袁灿,罗学渊,任雨涵,罗小利..基于多重影响因素的天然气需求预测研究[J].西南石油大学学报（社会科学版）,2023,25(6):1-12,12.
