西南石油大学学报（社会科学版）2023，Vol.25Issue(6)：31-39,9.DOI:10.11885/j.issn.1674-5094.2023.06.07.01
集聚与分化:长三角地区人口结构变动趋势
Agglomeration and Divergence:Demography Change and Development in the Yangtze River Delta
摘要
Abstract
In the process of urbanization,China's population distribution shows tendency of urban agglomerations.With 41 cities in the Yangtze River Delta as the research samples,we compare and analyze the characteristics of population structure changes in the three provinces and one municipality in the Yangtze River Delta during 2010-2022 using demographic statistics.The study finds that:the population continues to gather in the major cities,with 13 of the 41 cities experiencing population contraction and 10 cities with the largest population accounting for nearly 40％of the total population of the Yangtze River Delta;the Yangtze River Delta has become one of the regions with the most serious population aging and the lowest natural population growth rate in China,especially in Shanghai;the working population in the two provinces and the municipality except for Zhejiang Province is shrinking,and the Yangtze River Delta's demographic dividend is weakening;Anhui Province has the largest outflow of population,the slowest population growth,the lowest urbanization level,and the largest internal differences.In the context of negative population growth,the Yangtze River Delta needs to give full play to the self-regulation and complementary role of population in the area to promote the population in agglomeration towards equilibrium in order to tap the advantages of population development.关键词
长三角/人口结构/人口收缩/城镇化/区域经济Key words
the Yangtze River Delta/demographic structure/population contraction/urbanization/regional economy分类
社会科学引用本文复制引用
蔡弘,刘梦伟..集聚与分化:长三角地区人口结构变动趋势[J].西南石油大学学报（社会科学版）,2023,25(6):31-39,9.基金项目
安徽省高校杰出青年科研项目"乡村人口变动规律、结构困境与发展趋势研究"(2022AH020023)、安徽省住房城乡建设科学技术计划项目"以县城为重要载体的就地城镇化模式研究"(2022-RK048)、安徽省教育厅高校委托项目"安徽'十四五'时期及2030年城乡学龄人口发展变化研究"(2022AH050267). （2022AH020023）
