电力系统自动化2024，Vol.48Issue(1)：50-58,9.DOI:10.7500/AEPS20230720014
考虑热舒适度的居民空调负荷调控潜力差异化评估
Differentiation Evaluation of Regulation Potential for Residential Air Conditioning Load Considering Thermal Comfort
摘要
Abstract
Residential air conditioning load serves as a crucial flexibility resource in the power system,and the evaluation of its regulation potential contributes to efficient load management and promotes energy conservation and emission reduction.However,due to the limits such as financial cost,data storage,and privacy protection,direct measurement of the residential air conditioning states and parameters is difficult,thereby hindering the differentiation evaluation of the air conditioning load regulation potential of different residents.Furthermore,residents use air conditioning to meet their thermal comfort requirements.Neglecting the constraints of thermal comfort when evaluating the air conditioning load regulation potential may result in overestimating evaluation values,thereby diminishing the effectiveness of load management strategies.Hence,this paper proposes a differentiation evaluation method of regulation potential for residential air conditioning load considering the thermal comfort.The method establishes the models for residential thermal comfort and air conditioning thermodynamics,and extracts key parameters that influence the residential thermal comfort and air conditioning load.Subsequently,a hidden Markov model and the Viterbi algorithm are employed to identify the air conditioning states and parameters.On this basis,the air conditioning load regulation potentials within the acceptable ranges of different resident thermal comfort levels are calculated.The case analysis based on real residential load data demonstrates that the proposed method accurately identifies the residential air conditioning states,and effectively evaluates the air conditioning load regulation potential that meets the thermal comfort requirements of residents.关键词
居民空调负荷/热舒适度/状态辨识/调控潜力评估/隐马尔可夫模型/维特比算法Key words
residential air conditioning load/thermal comfort/state identification/regulation potential evaluation/hidden Markov model/Viterbi algorithm引用本文复制引用
金旭,张远实,李明,窦晓波,阮文骏,段梅梅..考虑热舒适度的居民空调负荷调控潜力差异化评估[J].电力系统自动化,2024,48(1):50-58,9.基金项目
国家电网公司科技项目(5108-202218280A-2-0-XG). This work is supported by State Grid Corporation of China(No.5108-202218280A-2-0-XG). （5108-202218280A-2-0-XG）
