基于层次分析法和模糊评价法的中国近海盆地CO2封存适宜性评价OACSTPCD
Suitability assessment on CO2 storage in offshore basins of China based on AHP and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation
CO2 排放造成全球气温多变,"多米诺骨牌被推翻"导致一系列环境问题接踵而至,因此,开展CO2 海上封存研究对实现"碳达峰、碳中和"目标具有重要意义.以中国近海盆地为研究对象,运用层次分析法(AHP)和模糊综合评价相结合的方法,从封存安全性、封存规模、封存可行性 3方面考虑,构建了由 3个一级指标、8个二级指标组成的CO2 封存适宜性评价指标体系,对中国近海十大盆地的CO2 封存适宜性进行评价.评价结果显示,中国近海盆地CO2 封存适宜性优劣顺序依次为:珠江口盆地、东海陆架盆地、渤海湾盆地、北部湾盆地、莺歌海盆地(莺歌海组)、南黄海盆地、北黄海盆地、琼东南盆地、台西盆地、台西南盆地,其中,珠江口盆地和东海陆架盆地可作为CO2 近海封存的首选盆地.
CO2 emissions lead to global temperature changes and"dominoes are overturned",triggering a series of environmental problems one after another.Therefore,CO2 offshore storage is an important issue to achieve the goal of"carbon peak and carbon neutrality".Taking China offshore basins as the research object,the method of AHP(analytic hierarchy process)and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation was used,three aspects of storage security,storage scale and storage feasibility were considered,and a CO2 storage suitability evaluation index system was constructed with three first-level indicators and eight second-level indicators,upon which the CO2 storage suitabil-ity and favorable areas of 10 offshore basins in China was assessed.Results shows that the offshore basin CO2 suitability in a descendant order is:Pearl River Mouth Basin,East China Sea Shelf Basin,Bohai Bay Basin,Beibu Bay Basin,Yinggehai Basin(Yinggehai Formation),South Yellow Sea Basin,North Yellow Sea Basin,Qiong-dongnan Basin,Taixi Basin,and Southwest Taiwan Basin.Among them,the Pearl River Mouth Basin and the East China Sea Shelf Basin can be regarded as the preferred basins for CO2 offshore storage.
闫华敏;李磊;李林涛;李彦尊;李玲;张威;彭晨昂
西安石油大学地球科学与工程学院,西安 710065||陕西省油气成藏地质学重点实验室,西安 710065中海油研究总院,北京 100010
海洋学
CO2海上封存封存适宜性层次分析法(AHP)模糊综合评价
CO2 offshore storagestorage suitabilityanalytic hierarchy process(AHP)fuzzy comprehensive evaluation
《海洋地质前沿》 2024 (001)
79-93 / 15
中海油"十四五"课题"海上CCUS上下游一体化技术研究-海上咸水层CO2 封存机理研究"(CCL2022RCPS0144RQN);西安石油大学研究生创新与实践能力培养计划(YCS22213076)
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