中国地质灾害与防治学报2023，Vol.34Issue(6)：116-126,11.DOI:10.16031/j.cnki.issn.1003-8035.202212009
基于突变理论的湟水河流域崩滑易发性评价
Assessment of landslide susceptibility in the Huangshui River Basin based on catastrophe theory
摘要
Abstract
The Huangshui River Basin,an important upstream tributary of the upper reaches of the Yellow River,serves as the political,economic,and cultural center of Qinghai Province,and is also a region with a high incidence of geological disasters.Within this basin,various types of disasters occur frequently,resulting in significant economic losses and casualties.These disasters also exhibit distinct regional characteristics.Based on the analysis of landform,geological rock group,geological structure,hydrometeorology and human engineering activities in the Huangshui River Basin,the comprehensive classification standard of geological disaster susceptibility was established,and the susceptibility of landslide disaster in the Huangshui River Basin was categorized into five levels:extremely high,high,medium,low and very low.Using a matlab-based platform for catastrophe theory,the inherent relationships among various assessment factors are fully considered,and the single-point disaster risk evaluation is extended to regional disaster susceptibility evaluation.Validation of the assessment results through ROC analysis demonstrates the high accuracy of this method,providing theoretical support for geological disaster prevention and control.关键词
湟水河流域/崩滑灾害/突变级数理论/危险性评价Key words
Huangshui River Basin/landslide disasters/catastrophe series theory/risk assessment分类
天文与地球科学引用本文复制引用
李彬,周金喜,吴钶桥,马建全,祁汉文..基于突变理论的湟水河流域崩滑易发性评价[J].中国地质灾害与防治学报,2023,34(6):116-126,11.基金项目
2021年青海省"高端创新人才"拔尖人才计划(青人才[2021]12号) （青人才[2021]12号）
青海省科技计划项目(2019-KY-01) （2019-KY-01）
