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基于LMDI模型的福建省造纸工业磅排放影响因素分析

王红平 刘凯

中国造纸学报2023,Vol.38Issue(4):60-66,7.
中国造纸学报2023,Vol.38Issue(4):60-66,7.DOI:10.11981/j.issn.1000-6842.2023.04.60

基于LMDI模型的福建省造纸工业磅排放影响因素分析

Analysis on Influencing Factors of Carbon Emissions from the Paper Industry in Fujian Province Based on LMDI Model

王红平 1刘凯2

作者信息

  • 1. 福建农林大学金山学院,福建福州,350002
  • 2. 福建农林大学材料工程学院,福建福州,350108
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

As a major paper industry province in China,the changes in carbon emissions from the paper industry in Fujian province are cru-cial for the development of carbon emissions in China's paper industry.This study estimated the carbon dioxide(CO2)emissions from the pa-per industry in Fujian province from 2007 to 2021,analyzed the impact of its total assets,total asset output value rate,energy intensity,and energy structure on carbon emissions,and determined the main driving and controlling factors of carbon emissions using Logarithmic Mean Di-visia Index(LMDI)method.The results indicate that:(1)The changes in CO2 emissions from the paper industry in Fujian province can be mainly divided into three stages:a slow increase from 2007 to 2013,a rapid increase from 2014 to 2018,and a stable state from 2019 to 2021;(2)The main contributors to CO2 emissions are coal and electricity,which account for nearly 50%and 50%of CO2 emissions during 2007-2021,respectively,and the proportion of CO2 generated by other energy sources is very low.The energy intensity shows a rapid de-cline stage(2007-2013)and a stable stage(2014-2021);(3)The main driving factors for the increase in CO2 emissions are total assets and total asset value ratio,while the main inhibiting factor is energy intensity.Finally,some sustainable development policies were put for-ward for carbon reduction in the paper industry in Fujian province.

关键词

造纸工业/碳排放/LMDI分解/驱动因素

Key words

paper industry/carbon emissions/LMDI decomposition/driving factors

分类

轻工纺织

引用本文复制引用

王红平,刘凯..基于LMDI模型的福建省造纸工业磅排放影响因素分析[J].中国造纸学报,2023,38(4):60-66,7.

中国造纸学报

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1000-6842

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