南京工业大学学报（自然科学版）2024，Vol.46Issue(1)：46-54,9.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1671-7627.2024.01.006
基于三类危险源理论的事故模式及隐患提取方法
Accident model and hidden danger extraction method based on the theory of three types of hazards
摘要
Abstract
In response to the current problems of unclear and ambiguous accident pattern descriptions and the deficiencies of unprofessional and incomplete identification of hidden dangers,this study provided a general definition,connotation,and extraction steps for accident model.The relationship between accident mode and hidden dangers was explained,and a method for finding hidden danger points in production sites based on accident mode was put forward.Referring to the"classification for casualty accidents of enterprise staff and workers(GB 6441-1986)",statistics on larger and higher safety accidents in the chemical industry from 2000 to 2022,and the probability of occurrence of different categories of hidden dangers were analyzed.By analyzing the accident root causes,barrier failures and accident types in the propylene loading scenario of a petrochemical enterprise,the accident mode of propylene loading was extracted and the hidden danger characteristic table was generated.The results showed that the probability of occurrence of the first type of hidden danger in unsafe state and the first,sixth and thirteenth types of hidden danger in unsafe behavior was higher in the typical accident types of chemical industry.The number of hidden danger items identified for preventing propylene leakage by setting barriers in the propylene loading scenario accounted for the highest proportion,approximately 48.94％.The occurrence probability of hidden danger items involved in N=1,M=1 and m=6,M=6 and m=8,M=13 accounted for 49.23％,12.78％,14.44％and 26.11％of the total occurrence probability of all categories,and should be a priority for protection.关键词
事故模式/隐患/隐患特征/隐患智慧识别/丙烯装车Key words
accident mode/hidden danger/hidden danger characteristics/intelligent hidden danger identification/Propylene loading分类
资源环境引用本文复制引用
鲁存郁,蒋鋒,于曦洋,沈浩宇,华敏,王三明,潘旭海..基于三类危险源理论的事故模式及隐患提取方法[J].南京工业大学学报（自然科学版）,2024,46(1):46-54,9.基金项目
江苏省科技成果转化专项(BA2020019) （BA2020019）
江苏省重点研发计划(BE2020729) （BE2020729）
宁夏回族自治区重点研发计划(2022BEE02001) （2022BEE02001）
