南京林业大学学报（自然科学版）2024，Vol.48Issue(1)：237-247,11.DOI:10.12302/j.issn.1000-2006.202208058
中国对RCEP成员国的林产品出口效率以及潜力预测研究
The export efficiency and potential capacity of China's forest products to RCEP member countries
摘要
Abstract
[Objective]To discuss China's export efficiency and potential capacity of forest products to Regional Comprehensive Econoroic Partnership(RCEP)member countries,it is important to identify the future expansion of China's forest product exports to other RCEP member countries and to optimize the export market and structure of China's forest products.[Method]Based on China's forest product export data to RCEP member countries from 2004 to 2018,the stochastic frontier gravity model was used to analyze China's forest product export efficiency to RCEP member countries and forecast the potential export capacity combined with tariff reduction scenarios.[Result]Trade barriers,transportation and economic policies have negative impacts on the export efficiency of forest products in China.With the establishment of RCEP,RCEP countries will further occupy the export market of China's forest products,which will help expand China's export of forest products to developing countries.[Conclusion]RCEP will further adjust and optimize the export structure of forest products in China.Differentiated policies should be designed for forest products to accelerate the reduction of trade barriers among RCEP countries,advance negotiations with RCEP countries on forest product tariff reduction,and enhance the competitiveness and added value of paper products by improving innovation capabilities.关键词
区域全面经济伙伴关系(RCEP)/出口效率/出口潜力/出口结构/关税减让/林产品贸易Key words
Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership(RCEP)/export efficiency/potential capacity of exportation/exportation structure/tariff concession/forest products trade分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
潘磊,熊立春,姚瑜晨,梁昭,朱臻..中国对RCEP成员国的林产品出口效率以及潜力预测研究[J].南京林业大学学报（自然科学版）,2024,48(1):237-247,11.基金项目
国家自然科学基金青年项目(72003179) （72003179）
2023年度浙江省哲学社会科学领军人才培育课题(23QNYC13ZD) （23QNYC13ZD）
浙江农林大学青年英才培养项目(2034100003). （2034100003）
