宁夏大学学报（自然科学版）2023，Vol.44Issue(4)：356-361,6.
宁夏工业碳排放脱钩影响因素分析及减排对策研究
Factors Influencing Decoupling of Industrial Carbon Emissions and Countermeasures to Reduce Emissions in Ningxia
摘要
Abstract
Based on the industrial major energy consumption data of Ningxia from 2005 to 2019,the spatial and temporal evolution characteristics of industrial carbon emissions,and the decoupling of economic development and its influencing factors in Ningxia were analyzed by comprehensively using IPCC carbon emission accounting method,Tapio decoupling analysis method and LMDI model.The results show that the total industrial carbon emissions in Ningxia grew rapidly in the early stage and slowed down in the later stage,from 2.09×107 t to 8.1 × 107 t,with an average annual growth rate of 10.17％;the carbon emission intensity showed a decreasing trend,from 3.11 t/10 000 yuan to 1.64 t/10 000 yuan,with an average annual decrease of 4.46％.The decoupling status of industrial carbon emissions in Ningxia is poor,with only 6 of the observed years in weak decoupling status.It showed strong negative decoupling of industrial carbon emissions in 2019,and the growth rate of carbon emissions is positive while the growth rate of industrial GDP is negative.The energy structure is the inhibiting factor for the decoupling of industrial carbon emissions in Ningxia,with an average decoupling elasticity coefficient of 3.346;the energy intensity is the driving factor for the decoupling of carbon emissions,with an average decoupling elasticity coefficient of-0.279;the economic level is the secondary inhibiting factor for the decoupling of industrial carbon emissions,with an average decoupling elasticity coefficient of 0.713;and the population size has a small inhibiting effect on the decoupling of industrial carbon emissions.It is suggested that Ningxia should actively adjust the energy structure,improve the efficiency of energy use,increase the proportion of clean energy such as wind,light and nuclear,and strengthen the cooperation and exchange between regions to achieve synergistic development.关键词
工业碳排放/Tapio脱钩/LMDI模型/宁夏/影响因素Key words
industrial carbon emission/Tapio decoupling/LMDI Model/Ningxia/influencing factors分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
刘腾,董洪光,高乐红,罗涛..宁夏工业碳排放脱钩影响因素分析及减排对策研究[J].宁夏大学学报（自然科学版）,2023,44(4):356-361,6.基金项目
中国工程院、中国工程科技发展战略基金资助项目(2021NXZD3) （2021NXZD3）
