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基于SPI-RRV指数中国气象干旱及其风险时空演变特征研究

杨肖丽 罗定 叶周兵 谢灵枫 任立良 江善虎 袁山水

水资源保护2024,Vol.40Issue(1):44-51,8.
水资源保护2024,Vol.40Issue(1):44-51,8.DOI:10.3880/j.issn.1004-6933.2024.01.006

基于SPI-RRV指数中国气象干旱及其风险时空演变特征研究

Study on spatio-temporal evolution characteristics of meteorological drought and its risk in China based on SPI-RRV index

杨肖丽 1罗定 1叶周兵 1谢灵枫 1任立良 2江善虎 1袁山水3

作者信息

  • 1. 河海大学水灾害防御全国重点实验室,江苏 南京 210098||河海大学水文水资源学院,江苏 南京 210098
  • 2. 河海大学水灾害防御全国重点实验室,江苏 南京 210098||河海大学水文水资源学院,江苏 南京 210098||河海大学水安全与水科学协同创新中心,江苏 南京 210098
  • 3. 河海大学长江保护与绿色发展研究院,江苏 南京 210098||河海大学水利部水循环与水动力系统重点实验室,江苏 南京 210098
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

To fully reveal multi-dimensional meteorological drought characteristics in China under changing environment,an SPI-RRV index-based drought risk assessment method was put forward by coupling the meteorological drought index(SPI)and the reliability-resilience-vulnerability(RRV)index to assess spatio-temporal evolution characteristics of meteorological drought and the drought risk in China.The results show that the SPI-RRV index has characteristics of high stability and strong spatio-temporal comparability,and can accurately assess spatio-temporal evolution characteristics of meteorological drought risk.The average drought grid ratio,proportion of drought months,and number of drought events in southem China are larger than those in northem China.Droughts in humid and semi-humid regions have higher intensity and shorter durations,while droughts in semi-arid and arid regions have lower intensity and longer durations.The transfer of high drought risk areas has a significant interdecadal variation pattern,with a transferring trend from northwest to southwest.

关键词

气象干旱/标准化降水指数/可靠性-回弹性-脆弱性指数/干旱风险

Key words

meteorological drought/standardized precipitation index/reliability-resilience-vulnerability index/drought risk

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

杨肖丽,罗定,叶周兵,谢灵枫,任立良,江善虎,袁山水..基于SPI-RRV指数中国气象干旱及其风险时空演变特征研究[J].水资源保护,2024,40(1):44-51,8.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金项目(U2243203) (U2243203)

国家自然科学基金面上项目(52079036) (52079036)

水资源保护

OA北大核心CSTPCDEI

1004-6933

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