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灾害系统视角下的灾害耦合效应探讨OACSTPCD

Discussion on the Coupling Effect of Disasters from the Perspective of Disaster System

中文摘要英文摘要

灾害耦合效应是灾害风险科学领域关注的焦点议题,与复杂灾害事件具有密切的联系.该文首先从词源角度阐述了"耦合"的内涵,提出了灾害耦合效应的概念,对比了灾害耦合与灾害叠加的差异,阐述了灾害耦合效应的整体性、有序性、动态性和目的性特征.其次从灾害系统的角度出发,分析了灾害系统结构体系和功能体系及演化过程与灾害耦合效应的联系,提出灾害耦合效应具有灾害形成要素耦合和灾害演化过程耦合,并探讨了两种耦合内在的特征及两者互动作用.再次从复杂灾害事件角度出发,探究了灾害群、灾害链和灾害遭遇与灾害耦合效应的关系,提出灾害演化过程耦合与灾害演化网络视角下的灾害链过程具有一致性,灾害形成要素的耦合与广义的灾害遭遇具有一致性.最后该文提出了加强灾害耦合效应研究与实践的关键点.

The coupling effect of disasters is a focus issue in the field of disaster risk science,which is closely related to complex disaster events.Firstly,we elaborate on the connotation of coupling from the perspective of ety-mology,propose the concept of disaster coupling effect,compare the differences between disaster coupling and dis-aster superposition,and elaborate on the overall,orderly,dynamic,and purposeful characteristics of disaster cou-pling effect.Secondly,from the perspective of disaster system,the relationship between the structural and function-al system of disaster system,as well as their evolutionary processes,and the coupling effect of disasters is ana-lyzed.It is proposed that the coupling effect of disasters has the coupling of disaster formation factors and disaster e-volution processes,and the inherent characteristics of the two types of coupling and their interaction are explored.Thirdly,starting from the perspective of complex disaster events,we explore the relationship between disaster clus-ters,disaster chains,disaster compound and the coupling effect of disasters.It is proposed that the coupling of dis-aster evolution processes is consistent with the disaster chain process from the perspective of disaster evolution net-works,and the coupling of disaster formation factors is consistent with the generalized disaster compound.Finally,we propose key points for strengthening the research and practice of disaster coupling effects.

孔锋

中国农业大学 人文与发展学院,北京 100083||北京市科学技术协会 防灾减灾专业智库基地,北京 100089||清华大学 应急管理研究基地,北京 100084

环境科学

灾害系统灾害耦合复杂灾害事件灾害风险科学复杂系统科学灾害群灾害链灾害遭遇

disaster systemdisaster coupling effectcomplex disaster eventdisaster risk sciencecomplex systems sciencedisaster groupsdisaster chaindisaster compound

《灾害学》 2024 (001)

社交媒体多模态下重大突发事件危机传播的公众参与行为及政府沟通策略研究

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广东省自然科学基金区域联合基金-青年基金项目(2020A1515110650);广东省哲学社会科学规划2020年度青年项目(GD20YGL15);国家自然科学基金项目(72104089);中国高等教育学会2022年度高等教育科学研究规划课题(22DL0302);2021年度中华农业科教基金课程教材建设研究项目(NKJ202103014);北京市高等教育学会2022年立项课题面上项目(MS2022370);陕西省社会科学基金重大项目(2023ZD07)

10.3969/j.issn.1000-811X.2024.01.001

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