互联网使用如何降低女性生育意愿?OACHSSCD
How does Internet Use Reduce Women's Desire to Have Children?
低生育率问题是党和国家亟须解决的重点问题.在互联网高度普及的现实背景下,探明互联网使用在低生育率现象形成过程中产生的作用,有利于政府精准施策,具有重要的现实意义.文章基于CGSS2013、2015、2017 的数据,使用泊松回归模型,研究了互联网使用对女性生育意愿的影响.研究发现,互联网使用通过增加女性兼职行为,从而提高女性收入,进而提高女性生育成本和传递有关家庭、婚姻的负面信息,挤出夫妻之间的共同闲暇时间,从而降低婚姻稳定性等两条途径降低了女性生育意愿.异质性分析表明,互联网使用影响女性生育意愿存在户籍类型、就业部门、政治身份、年龄等的异质性,互联网使用显著降低了城市、非党员、非国有部门女性的生育意愿,对 18~24 岁女性生育意愿的抑制作用更大.文章为互联网普及背景下我国低生育率社会的形成提供了新的解释,为信息时代人口公共政策制定提供了经验证据.
The low fertility rate is the key issues that the Party and the country urgently need to solve.With the prevail of the Internet,it is of great practical significance to explore the role of Internet use in the formation of low fertility,which is beneficial for the government to issue accurate policies.Based on the data of CGSS2013,2015 and 2017,this paper uses Poisson regression model to study the impact of Internet use on female fertility inten-tion.It is found that Internet use reduces women's willingness to bear children through two ways.Firstly,it increases women's cost of childbirth through providing part-time job for women and increasing their income.Secondly,it reduces the stability of marriage through spreading negative infor-mation about family and marriage and squeezing out the common leisure time between husband and wife.Heterogeneity analysis showed that there was heterogeneity in household registration type,political identity,employment sector and age of women.Internet use significantly reduced the fertility in-tention of women in urban areas,non-party members and non-state-owned sectors,and inhibited the fertility intention of women aged 18 to 24.This pa-per provides a new explanation for the formation of low fertility society in China under the background of Internet popularization,and provides empirical evidence for making population public policy in the information age.
李舜
湘潭大学 商学院,湖南 湘潭 411105
政治法律
互联网使用女性生育意愿机会成本婚姻稳定性
internet usagefemale's fertility desireopportunity costmarital stability
《当代经济管理》 2024 (001)
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国家社会科学基金重点项目"数字经济下就业极化的形成机理与治理对策研究"(22AJL007);湖南省研究生科研创新重点项目"信息社会下'少子化'成因及对策研究"(CX20220538).
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