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山洪灾害动态临界雨量分析

张雷鹰

河南水利与南水北调2023,Vol.52Issue(12):13-14,2.
河南水利与南水北调2023,Vol.52Issue(12):13-14,2.

山洪灾害动态临界雨量分析

Dynamic Critical Rainfall Analysis of Mountain Flood Disasters

张雷鹰1

作者信息

  • 1. 太原市水利勘测设计院,山西 太原 030024
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Taking Sanchuan River,Xinshui River and Sanggan River River,which are located in different hydrological subregions of Shanxi province,as an example,this paper analyzes the application of the dynamic critical rainfall warning index analysis method and the mountain flood disaster prediction model,which take into account the factors such as the previous rainfall,the accumulated rainfall,the rainfall intensity and the rainfall pattern distribution,etc.According to the prediction the prediction accuracy of the model is evaluated.The results show that the model has good applicability in typical hydrological regions of Shanxi province,and the qualified rate of prediction results of mountain flood disasters during the regular and validation periods of the three typical river basins is relatively high.According to the result of theoretical analysis,the model has universal applicability in other regions and river basins.

关键词

山洪灾害/动态临界雨量/预警/水文模型

Key words

mountain flood disaster/dynamic critical rainfall/early warning/hydrological model

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

张雷鹰..山洪灾害动态临界雨量分析[J].河南水利与南水北调,2023,52(12):13-14,2.

河南水利与南水北调

1673-8853

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