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我国气温网格预报检验及客观订正方法研究进展

刘嘉慧敏 潘留杰 戴昌明 胡启元 何林 燕若彤

气象科技进展2023,Vol.13Issue(6):10-20,11.
气象科技进展2023,Vol.13Issue(6):10-20,11.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.2095-1973.2023.06.002

我国气温网格预报检验及客观订正方法研究进展

Research Progress on Objective Verification and Correction Methods for Grid Temperature Forecast

刘嘉慧敏 1潘留杰 1戴昌明 1胡启元 1何林 2燕若彤3

作者信息

  • 1. 陕西省气象台,西安 710014||秦岭和黄土高原生态环境气象重点实验室,西安 710044
  • 2. 陕西省气象信息中心,西安 710014
  • 3. 成都信息工程大学大气科学学院,成都 610225
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

High-resolution intelligent grid forecast has become the main operational work and the development direction of future weather forecast since China Meteorological Administration launched the seamless fine grid weather forecast service in 2014.To date,with the rapid development of numerical model statistical post-processing technology,the quality of grid temperature forecast has been steadily improved.On the basis of summarizing the existing fine-scale testing and evaluation methods for grid temperature forecast,this paper systematically sorts out the latest progress of numerical model interpretation techniques,such as single model correction,multi-model integrated interpretation and big data artificial intelligence,in the field of objective correction of grid temperature forecast.The advantages and disadvantages of different methods in the field of grid temperature forecast are elucidated.In the context of the current rapid development of new information technologies such as artificial intelligence,big data,and cloud computing,grid temperature forecast needs to harness more cutting-edge research results from multiple sources,and fully utilize the inherent forecast information of numerical models for a smarter forecast in the future.

关键词

网格预报/数值模式/检验评估/客观订正

Key words

gridded forecasting/numerical model/verification and evaluation/objective correction

引用本文复制引用

刘嘉慧敏,潘留杰,戴昌明,胡启元,何林,燕若彤..我国气温网格预报检验及客观订正方法研究进展[J].气象科技进展,2023,13(6):10-20,11.

基金项目

陕西省自然科学基础研究计划(2022JQ-279) (2022JQ-279)

陕西省气象局秦岭和黄土高原生态环境气象重点实验室面上基金(2022Y-1) (2022Y-1)

陕西省自然科学基础研究计划(2021JQ-964) (2021JQ-964)

气象科技进展

2095-1973

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