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数值天气预报检验方法邻域法的研究进展

庄园 张悦含 孙世玮 王元

气象科技进展2023,Vol.13Issue(6):29-40,72,13.
气象科技进展2023,Vol.13Issue(6):29-40,72,13.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.2095-1973.2023.06.004

数值天气预报检验方法邻域法的研究进展

Research Progress of Neighborhood Methods for Numerical Weather Forecast Verification

庄园 1张悦含 2孙世玮 1王元3

作者信息

  • 1. 南京气象科技创新研究院,南京 210041||中国气象局交通气象重点开放实验室,南京 210041
  • 2. 中国气象局气象干部培训学院,北京 100081
  • 3. 南京大学大气科学学院,南京 210023
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Neighborhood method has been widely used in numerical weather forecast verification.With the development of high-resolution numerical model,there have emerged new neighborhood methods,and the application of neighborhood method has been extended from deterministic forecasts to ensemble forecasts.Firstly,different neighborhood methods are reviewed.According to different processing methods for forecast and observation field,neighborhood methods are categorized into four types,upscaling method,neighborhood maximum method,grid probability method and other methods.Then different neighborhood methods are compared based on a set of observation and forecast data.The application of different neighborhood methods should be chosen according to the actual requirements.The advantages and disadvantages of neighborhood methods are pointed out and the future development direction is prospected based on a comprehensive review.

关键词

预报检验/空间检验方法/邻域法

Key words

forecast verification/spatial verification method/neighborhood method

引用本文复制引用

庄园,张悦含,孙世玮,王元..数值天气预报检验方法邻域法的研究进展[J].气象科技进展,2023,13(6):29-40,72,13.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金青年科学基金项目(42105151) (42105151)

中国气象科学研究院基本科研业务费专项资金(2021Y008) (2021Y008)

中国气象局气象干部培训学院青年科研项目(2022CMATCQN05) (2022CMATCQN05)

气象科技进展

2095-1973

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