人口与经济Issue(1)：118-132,15.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1000-4149.2023.00.068
城市群人口集聚对共同富裕的影响
The Impact of Population Agglomeration on Common Prosperity:An Case Study of Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area
摘要
Abstract
Common prosperity is an important feature of Chinese-style modernization and an essential requirement of socialism with Chinese characteristics.How to promote the realization of common prosperity has become an urgent problem for the government and academia.This paper takes the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area as a sample to explore the impact of population agglomeration on the common prosperity of the inner and surrounding areas of urban agglomerations.Based on theoretical analysis,the"Integrated FGLS"method and the dynamic panel space Durbin model are used to estimate the following conclusions:Population agglomeration in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area plays a positive role in promoting common prosperity within the urban agglomerations and promoting common prosperity in the surrounding areas of the urban agglomerations.In the short term,there is a positive spatial spillover effect,but in the long term,the population of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area cannot gather indefinitely.When the development reaches a certain level,the crowding effect will exceed the agglomeration effect and have a negative impact on common prosperity.The above conclusions mean that the current situation of multi-center agglomeration within the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area has a high degree of spatial coordinated development.While promoting common prosperity within the urban agglomeration,it also drives the development of the surrounding areas in the short term.However,a more sustainable development in the long run still requires a more balanced distribution of population in the whole area of Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao,rather than an infinite agglomeration to the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area.Based on the above conclusions,this paper proposes that infrastructure connectivity,industrial connectivity and urban connectivity will facilitate a smoother flow of factor resources such as population in the Greater Bay Area,East and west areas of Guangdong,and mountain areas of Guangdong,optimize resource allocation,promote the overall development of Guangdong,Hong Kong and Macao,and achieve a true sense of the first wealth to drive the second wealth and finally achieve common prosperity.关键词
城市群/人口集聚/区域协调发展/共同富裕/粤港澳大湾区Key words
urban agglomeration/population agglomeration/regional coordinated development/common prosperity/Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area分类
社会科学引用本文复制引用
王莹莹..城市群人口集聚对共同富裕的影响[J].人口与经济,2024,(1):118-132,15.基金项目
国家社会科学基金青年项目"粤港澳大湾区人口流动及空间结构动态优化研究"(19CRK022). （19CRK022）
