人民长江2024，Vol.55Issue(1)：113-119,7.DOI:10.16232/j.cnki.1001-4179.2024.01.016
基于地区线性矩法的四川省24h极值降雨频率分析
Frequency analysis of 24-hour extreme rainfall in Sichuan Province based on regional L-moments method
摘要
Abstract
To explore the temporal and spatial distribution characteristics of 24-hour extreme rainfall in different return periods and different rainfall frequencies in Sichuan Province,this study divided the hydrometeorological homogeneous regions of Sichuan Province by the regional L-moments method,then determined the best fitting curve,and the applicability of regional L-moments method in the west Sichuan Plateau were verified.Then we estimated the rainfall frequency values in different 24-hour recur-rence periods of Sichuan Province,and its temporal and spatial distribution characteristics were analyzed.The results showed that:① Sichuan Province can be divided into 40 hydrometeorological homogeneous regions.The main fitting curves of Sichuan Province were determined as GLO,GEV,and GNO through conducting goodness-of-fit tests.GLO was the best-fitting curve in the West Sichuan Plateau.GEV was the best-fitting curve in most of the basin areas.② The regional L-moments method had good cer-tain applicability to the western Sichuan plateau area where the stations were relatively sparse.③The spatial distribution of 24-hour rainfall extreme in Sichuan Province was significantly heterogeneous.Under the same return periods,the maximum value of the estimated rainfall frequency in different areas can be up to 10 times of the minimum value.关键词
极值降雨/多重现期/降雨频率/地区线性矩法/四川省Key words
extreme rainfall/multiple return periods/precipitation frequency/regional L-moments method/Sichuan Province分类
天文与地球科学引用本文复制引用
胡静,王帅人,覃光华,黎小东,兰平..基于地区线性矩法的四川省24h极值降雨频率分析[J].人民长江,2024,55(1):113-119,7.基金项目
国家自然科学基金面上项目(51879172) （51879172）
中央高校基本科研业务费项目(2021SCU2040) （2021SCU2040）
