西南交通大学学报（社会科学版）2024，Vol.25Issue(1)：113-126,14.
基于通径分析的货运碳排放多通道化影响研究
Research on the Multi-channel Impact of Freight Carbon Emissions Based on Path Analysis
梁琪琛 1彭洪 1陈雅欣 2庄代文1
作者信息
- 1. 中国市政工程西南设计研究总院有限公司
- 2. 四川天府新区公园城市建设局
- 折叠
摘要
Abstract
The rapid development of China's economy will produce greater demand for freight,and will also bring the continuous growth of freight carbon emissions.Starting from the analysis of the influencing factors of changes in freight carbon emissions,it is of great significance to find an effective sustainable development path for the freight industry to promote the realization of national carbon peak and carbon neutrality goals.Considering the multi-channel influence of different modes of transportation on the change of freight carbon emissions,based on the scientific measurement of freight carbon emissions,a path analysis model can be established to quantitatively analyze the direct and indirect effects of different modes of transportation on the change of freight carbon emissions.The results show that:on the one hand,highways and civil aviation are the main growth factors of freight carbon emissions.They have a greater direct increase effect on freight carbon emissions,and their indirect reduction effect has a limited buffer effect on their overall increase effect.On the other hand,railway and waterway are the main control factors of freight carbon emissions.Although the direct reduction effect of railway on freight carbon emissions is weaker than that of waterway,the indirect increase effect of waterway on freight carbon emissions is much stronger than that of railway.Therefore,the overall reduction effect of the railway is the strongest.关键词
货物运输/运输结构/碳排放/可持续发展/碳中和/运输经济/交通规划Key words
freight transportation/transportation structure/carbon emissions/sustainable development/carbon neutrality/transportation economy/transportation planning引用本文复制引用
梁琪琛,彭洪,陈雅欣,庄代文..基于通径分析的货运碳排放多通道化影响研究[J].西南交通大学学报（社会科学版）,2024,25(1):113-126,14.
