重庆理工大学学报2024，Vol.38Issue(2)：31-50,20.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1674-8425(s).2024.01.004
数字经济发展与出口韧性:来自我国地级市层面的经验证据
Digital economy development and export resilience:Evidence from prefecture-level cities in China
摘要
Abstract
With the intensification of global economic uncertainty and the increasingly complex geopolitical and economic situation,the resilience of China's export trade faces greater external shocks,and the rapid development of the digital economy will profoundly affect the resilience of cities'export through effectively enabling trade transformation and upgrading.Based on this background,the paper systematically reviews the theoretical mechanism of digital economy affecting export resilience,and empirically tests the effect and mechanism of digital economy development on export resilience of Chinese cities through panel data of prefecture-level cities and differential model.The research shows that the development of digital economy has a significant positive impact on the resilience and recovery of exports,and various robustness tests support the above conclusions.This effect is more prominent in cities with low digital economy development level and low foreign trade dependence.The effect on resistance was more prominent in Midwestern and northern cities,and the effect on recovery was more obvious in eastern and northern cities.In addition,the digital economy improves the export resilience through the influence of technological innovation and trade openness.Among the industrial factors,manufacturing agglomeration has a negative regulatory effect on it,while industrial diversification has a positive regulatory effect on it.Further research shows that the scale of Internet development has a nonlinear effect on the digital economy's export resilience,which is manifested as a double threshold effect.The above conclusions provide theoretical support for improving the export resilience of Chinese cities and accelerating the realization of high-quality trade development.Based on this,suggestions are proposed to increase support for the digital economy and related industries,promote deep integration of digital technology and traditional industries,promote balanced development of various regions in China,and advocate for diversified economic development.关键词
数字经济/出口韧性/技术创新/贸易开放/门槛效应Key words
digital economy/export resilience/technological innovation/trade openness/threshold effect分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
李宏兵,唐莲,王岩..数字经济发展与出口韧性:来自我国地级市层面的经验证据[J].重庆理工大学学报,2024,38(2):31-50,20.基金项目
教育部社会科学基金后期资助项目"'双循环'背景下数字经济驱动贸易高质量发展的路径研究"(22JHQ062) （22JHQ062）
全国统计科学研究重点项目"数字经济安全统计测度问题研究"(2023LZ017) （2023LZ017）
