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Probabilistic Precipitation Forecasting Based on Ensemble Output Using Generalized Additive Models and Bayesian Model Averaging

杨赤严中伟邵月红

Acta meteorologica Sinica2012，Vol.26Issue(1)：P.1-12,12.

Probabilistic Precipitation Forecasting Based on Ensemble Output Using Generalized Additive Models and Bayesian Model Averaging

杨赤 ¹严中伟 ²邵月红²

作者信息

1. College of Global Change and Earth System Science,Beijing Normal University Key Laboratory of Regional Climate-Environment Research for Temperate East Asia,Institute of Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences
2. Key Laboratory of Regional Climate-Environment Research for Temperate East Asia,Institute of Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences
折叠

摘要

关键词

Bayesian model averaging/generalized additive model/probabilistic precipitation forecasting,TIGGE/Tweedie distribution

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

杨赤,严中伟,邵月红..Probabilistic Precipitation Forecasting Based on Ensemble Output Using Generalized Additive Models and Bayesian Model Averaging[J].Acta meteorologica Sinica,2012,26(1):P.1-12,12.

基金项目

Supported by the National Basic Research and Development (973) Program of China (2010CB428402) （973）

China Meteorological Administration Special Public Welfare Research Fund (GYHY200706001) （GYHY200706001）

Acta meteorologica Sinica

OASCI

ISSN：2095-6037

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