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基于分级分类和改进AHP-EW-TOPSIS的电力系统充裕性评估方法

张宇天 顾丹珍 李振坤 黄阮明 郭枭宇

电力系统保护与控制2024,Vol.52Issue(4):144-154,11.
电力系统保护与控制2024,Vol.52Issue(4):144-154,11.DOI:10.19783/j.cnki.pspc.231027

基于分级分类和改进AHP-EW-TOPSIS的电力系统充裕性评估方法

A power system adequacy assessment method based on hierarchical classification and improved AHP-EW-TOPSIS

张宇天 1顾丹珍 1李振坤 1黄阮明 2郭枭宇1

作者信息

  • 1. 上海电力大学电气工程学院,上海 200090
  • 2. 国网上海市电力公司经济技术研究院,上海 200120
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Power system adequacy assessment is of great significance to the planning and construction of a power system.The traditional single probabilistic indicator assessment method can no longer meet the needs of power system adequacy assessment with the increasing penetration rate of new energy,the complexity of scenarios,and the diversification of shortage events.First,the shortage events are equated to the maximum shortage of power,and based on an improved least squares method,the characteristic points of the shortage event partition are fitted,and a multi-indicator system for the shortage event set hierarchical classification of the adequacy is constructed.Then,multiple random shortage sample datasets are generated based on the Monte Carlo method.The global weights of the indicators in each partition are determined combined with the improved AHP-EW-TOPSIS method.Also a comprehensive score landing curve is obtained.Finally,the judgment interval of the comprehensive evaluation results is constructed according to the score landing curve.The algorithm is simulated and verified based on the actual operational data of a city,and the results show that the proposed method can combine the subjective requirements and the objective characteristics of different scales of adequacy events to obtain more comprehensive and transparent adequacy assessment results.

关键词

电力系统充裕性/充裕性指标/综合评估方法/AHP-EW-TOPSIS

Key words

power system adequacy/adequacy indicators/methods of comprehensive assessment/AHP-EW-TOPSIS

引用本文复制引用

张宇天,顾丹珍,李振坤,黄阮明,郭枭宇..基于分级分类和改进AHP-EW-TOPSIS的电力系统充裕性评估方法[J].电力系统保护与控制,2024,52(4):144-154,11.

基金项目

This work is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.52177098). 国家自然科学基金项目资助(52177098) (No.52177098)

国网上海市电力公司科技项目资助(SGSHJYGPJS00283) (SGSHJYGPJS00283)

电力系统保护与控制

OA北大核心CSTPCD

1674-3415

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