农业现代化研究2023，Vol.44Issue(6)：1036-1046,11.DOI:10.13872/j.1000-0275.2023.0104
农业全要素生产率对农村劳动力非农转移的影响
The impacts of agricultural total factor productivity on the non-agricultural transfer of rural labor force:Local effects and neighborhood effects
摘要
Abstract
Promoting the non-agricultural transfer of rural labor force is an important task for China to realize modernization.Improving agricultural total factor productivity plays an important role in promoting the non-agricultural transfer of rural labor force.Based on a provincial panel data from 2000 to 2020,this paper analyzed the spatial differentiation pattern of non-agricultural transfer of rural labor force and explored the impacts of agricultural total factor productivity on non-agricultural transfer of rural labor force and its spatial effects by the DEA-Malmquist model,the spatial autocorrelation method,and spatial lag model.Results show that the total factor productivity of China's agriculture shows a fluctuating upward trend from 2000 to 2020;the non-agricultural transfer of rural labor force displays an overall upward trend with significant spatial autocorrelation characteristics.The high-value agglomeration areas are mainly concentrated in the eastern coastal provinces south of the HU Huanyong line,and the low-value agglomeration areas are mainly in the western and northern border provinces.Agricultural total factor productivity can have a significant positive effect on the non-agricultural transfer of rural labor force,especially the long-distance non-agricultural transfer of rural labor force.At the same time,agricultural total factor productivity has different local and neighboring effects on the non-agricultural transfer of rural labor force,that is,promoting the non-agricultural transfer of local rural labor force and inhibiting the non-agricultural transfer of rural labor force in different places.Based on the above results,this paper suggests:increasing the input of agricultural factors,promoting the improvement of agricultural production efficiency,eliminating technical barriers,and encouraging factor exchanges among neighboring provinces.关键词
农业全要素生产率/农村劳动力/非农转移/本地效应/邻地效应/空间滞后模型Key words
agricultural total factor productivity/rural labor force/non-agricultural transfer/local effect/neighborhood effect/spatial lag model分类
经济学引用本文复制引用
王朝晖,宋琴,杨国永..农业全要素生产率对农村劳动力非农转移的影响[J].农业现代化研究,2023,44(6):1036-1046,11.基金项目
国家社会科学基金项目(20BGL240). National Social Science Foundation of China(20BGL240). （20BGL240）
