水利水电技术（中英文）2024，Vol.55Issue(1)：74-87,14.DOI:10.13928/j.cnki.wrahe.2024.01.007
基于博弈论和后悔理论的城市洪涝灾害韧性评价:以西安市为例
Resilience evaluation of urban flood disasters based on game theory and regret theory:A case study of Xi'an City
摘要
Abstract
[Objective]To reduce the differences in result caused by a single weighting method and address the problem of evalua-tion result distortion due to experts'avoidance of regret psychology during the evaluation process,the resilience of urban flood disasters is evaluated using game theory and regret theory in this study.[Methods]22 evaluation indicators are constructed from two aspects:the attributes of urban flood disaster resilience and resilience dimensions.Game theory with the Ordered Weighted Average operator(OWA)and the improved Criteria Importance Though Intercriteria Correlation(CRITIC)method are applied to comprehensively consider the influence of subjective and objective factors on weights,resultsing in the synthesis of indicator weights.The bounded rationality of regret theory is introduced to evaluate the resilience level of flood disasters in the main urban area of Xi'an city through the construction of utility value,regret-pleasure value,and perceived utility value matrices.The eval-uation result are then compared with four other method:fuzzy analytic hierarchy process,OWA operator,regret theory,and im-proved CRITIC and regret theory,to verify the reliability and effectiveness of the adopted method.[Results]The result indicate that the resilience evaluation value of the main urban area of Xi'an city for flood disasters is 4.62,and the resilience level is grade Ⅲ,indicating moderate resilience.Specifically,Baqiao District is grade Ⅳ,Xincheng District and Weiyang District are grade Ⅲ,Beilin District,Lianhu District,and Yanta District are grade Ⅱ,showing that the resilience in the northeast region is stronger than in the southwest region.[Conclusion]According to the game theory weighting result,it is evident that the propor-tion of permeable area,maximum daily rainfall during the flood season,internet coverage rate,drainage pipe network density,number of easily flooded points on urban roads,and vegetation coverage rate are the main indicators affect.关键词
洪涝灾害/韧性评价/OWA算子/改进CRITIC/博弈论/后悔理论/城市内涝/降水Key words
flood disaster/resilience evaluation/OWA operator/improved CRITIC/game theory/regret theory/urban waterlog-ging/precipitation分类
水利科学引用本文复制引用
尹志国,牛发阳,汤辉..基于博弈论和后悔理论的城市洪涝灾害韧性评价:以西安市为例[J].水利水电技术（中英文）,2024,55(1):74-87,14.基金项目
国家社会科学基金项目(18XXW007) （18XXW007）
陕西省社会科学基金项目(2023D044) （2023D044）
西安市2023年度社会科学规划基金项目(23JX129) （23JX129）
