江西农业学报2023，Vol.35Issue(12)：216-224,9.DOI:10.19386/j.cnki.jxnyxb.2023.12.030
长江经济带农业农村现代化和乡村振兴耦合协调发展的时空演化及预测
Spatiotemporal Evolution and Prediction of Coupling Coordination Development of Agricultural and Rural Modernization and Rural Revitalization in Yangtze River Economic Belt
摘要
Abstract
Based on the panel data of 11 provinces in the Yangtze River Economic Belt from 2015 to 2021,this paper used the entropy method,coupling coordination model,and gray prediction model to explore the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics and future development trends of agricultural and rural modernization and rural revitalization in the Yangtze River Economic Belt.The results show that:(1)The average coupling degree of agricultural and rural modernization and rural revitalization in the provinces and cities of the Yangtze River Economic Belt is between[0.91,1.00],which is at a high coupling stage.(2)The average coupling coordination degree of agricultural and rural modernization and rural revitalization in the provinces and cities of the Yangtze River Economic Belt is between[0.3827,0.7555],and shows an increasing trend year by year.(3)Except for Shanghai,the coordinated development of other provinces and cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt is lagging behind in the level of rural modernization.(4)The center of gravity of the coupling coordination level of agricultural and rural modernization and rural revitalization in the Yangtze River Economic Belt has shifted to the southwest.It can be seen that that the future development should mainly improve the level of rural modernization,while the overall development focus should be shifted to the southwest.关键词
长江经济带/农业农村现代化/乡村振兴/耦合协调/熵值法/灰色预测Key words
Yangtze River Economic Belt/Agricultural and rural modernization/Rural revitalization/Coupling coordination/Entropy method/Grey prediction分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
黄忠行,刘艳慧,郑善枫..长江经济带农业农村现代化和乡村振兴耦合协调发展的时空演化及预测[J].江西农业学报,2023,35(12):216-224,9.基金项目
云南省教育厅科学研究基金项目(2023J0517). （2023J0517）
