山东省集中供热面积及煤耗增量预测OA
Prediction of Central Heating Area and Incremental Coal Consumption in Shandong Province
综合考虑城乡结构、GDP、人口数量、城镇化率等参数,建立集中供热面积预测模型,对山东省集中供热面积、供暖期集中供热煤耗增量进行预测研究.2032年,山东省集中供热面积出现拐点,建筑供热能耗达峰."十六五"末山东省集中供热煤耗出现负增长,比"十五五"末减少30.40×104t.
By comprehensively considering pa-rameters such as urban and rural structure,GDP,popu-lation,and urbanization rate,a central heating area pre-diction model is established to conduct prediction re-search on the central heating area and the increase in central heating coal consumption during the heating pe-riod in Shandong Province.In 2032,the central heat-ing area of Shandong Province will have an inflection point,and the energy consumption of building heating will peak.At the end of the"16th Five-Year Plan",the coal consumption for centralized heating in Shan-dong Province will show a negative growth,30.40 x 104 t lower than that at the end of the"15th Five-Year Plan".
王玉博;王强;王树;董洪芳;李鹏;吴海涛;魏海亮
山东建筑大学热能工程学院,山东济南 250101山东毫瓦特新能源有限公司,山东聊城 252199山东省黄河三角洲可持续发展研究院,山东 东营 257091山东胜利建设监理股份有限公司,山东 东营 257100中国石油天然气销售东部分公司,上海 200122
土木建筑
集中供热面积煤耗增量预测经济水平人口数量城镇化率
central heating areaincremental coal consumptionpredictioneconomic levelpopula-tion numberurbanization rate
《煤气与热力》 2024 (002)
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山东省科技型中小企业创新能力提升工程项目(2022TSGC2566);东营市市校合作资金重点项目(SXHZ-2022-02-6);山东建筑大学博士基金(X20032Z0101)
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