煤气与热力2024，Vol.44Issue(2)：1-8,8.
山东省集中供热面积及煤耗增量预测
Prediction of Central Heating Area and Incremental Coal Consumption in Shandong Province
摘要
Abstract
By comprehensively considering pa-rameters such as urban and rural structure,GDP,popu-lation,and urbanization rate,a central heating area pre-diction model is established to conduct prediction re-search on the central heating area and the increase in central heating coal consumption during the heating pe-riod in Shandong Province.In 2032,the central heat-ing area of Shandong Province will have an inflection point,and the energy consumption of building heating will peak.At the end of the"16th Five-Year Plan",the coal consumption for centralized heating in Shan-dong Province will show a negative growth,30.40 x 104 t lower than that at the end of the"15th Five-Year Plan".关键词
集中供热面积/煤耗增量/预测/经济水平/人口数量/城镇化率Key words
central heating area/incremental coal consumption/prediction/economic level/popula-tion number/urbanization rate分类
建筑与水利引用本文复制引用
王玉博,王强,王树,董洪芳,李鹏,吴海涛,魏海亮..山东省集中供热面积及煤耗增量预测[J].煤气与热力,2024,44(2):1-8,8.基金项目
山东省科技型中小企业创新能力提升工程项目(2022TSGC2566) （2022TSGC2566）
东营市市校合作资金重点项目(SXHZ-2022-02-6) （SXHZ-2022-02-6）
山东建筑大学博士基金(X20032Z0101) （X20032Z0101）
