中药材2023，Vol.46Issue(8)：1894-1900,7.DOI:10.13863/j.issn1001-4454.2023.08.009
未来气候背景下的我国野生薤白潜在适生区预测
Prediction of Potential Suitable Areas of Wild Allium macrostemon in China under Future Climate
摘要
Abstract
Objective:To understand the main climatic and ecological factors affecting the growth of Allium macrostemon,and to predict its potential suitable areas,so as to provide reference for expanding the introduction and cultivation of Allium macrostemon and protecting wild resources effectively.Methods:The MaxEnt model and ArcGIS technology were used to analyze 326 loci on the geograph-ic distribution of Allium macrostemon in China,and the main environmental factors affecting the geographic distribution were selected.Based on the current distribution situation,the potential spatial distribution pattern of Allium macrostemon under different climatic condi-tions in 2041 to 2060 and 2061 to 2080 was predicted.Results:Under the current climate,the suitable growth area of Allium macroste-mon was 416.57×104 km2,and the high growth area was mainly distributed in Shaanxi,Hunan,Anhui and other provinces.Annual precipitation,average annual temperature,precipitation of the wettest month and average temperature of the driest season were the main environmental factors limiting its distribution.In different climatic periods in the future,the overall suitable areas of Allium macrostemon will migrate northward.With the increasing of global climate temperature,the potential optimum habitat of Allium macrostemon will be decreasing gradually.Conclusion:This study shows that climate change has an important impact on the habitat of Allium macrostemon,and it is recommended to strengthen the attention and protection of wild resource species of Allium macrostemon.关键词
最大熵模型/薤白/气候条件/适宜生境Key words
MaxEnt model/Allium macrostemon Bunge/Climate condition/Suitable habitat分类
医药卫生引用本文复制引用
莫忠妹,康公平,于海英,赵财..未来气候背景下的我国野生薤白潜在适生区预测[J].中药材,2023,46(8):1894-1900,7.基金项目
国家自然科学基金地区科学基金项目(32160287) （32160287）
贵州省科技计划项目(黔科合支撑[2019]2416号) （黔科合支撑[2019]2416号）
铜仁市科技局基础研究计划项目(铜市科研[2021]73号) （铜市科研[2021]73号）
贵州省普通高等学校青年科技人才成长项目(黔教合KY[2022]066号) （黔教合KY[2022]066号）
