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基于机器学习对机场能见度预测模型研究

袁敏 李忠堃 洪震宇 贾志杰 吴戈

舰船电子工程2023,Vol.43Issue(12):182-186,237,6.
舰船电子工程2023,Vol.43Issue(12):182-186,237,6.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1672-9730.2023.12.037

基于机器学习对机场能见度预测模型研究

Research on Airport Visibility Prediction Model Based on Machine Learning

袁敏 1李忠堃 1洪震宇 1贾志杰 2吴戈2

作者信息

  • 1. 中国民用航空飞行学院 广汉 618000
  • 2. 中国港湾工程有限责任公司 北京 100027
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In order to further accurately predict the visibility change trend of Maotai Airport,this paper first conducts statisti-cal analysis on the visibility change trend of Maotai Airport in 2018 and Pearson correlation analysis on the observed meteorological elements based on the annual airport meteorological office data in 2018.It is found that the relative humidity is significantly positive-ly correlated with the airport visibility change,and the temperature dew point difference is significantly negatively correlated with the airport visibility.Then,the visibility of Maotai Airport is predicted by multiple linear regression(MLR),BP neural network and radi-al basis function(BBF)neural network respectively.By comparing the goodness of fit,average error,mean square error and root mean square error,it is found that RBF neural network model performs better in error control and prediction accuracy than MLR and BP neural networks.Therefore,it can be selected as the visibility prediction model of Maotai Airport,which is of great significance to the safe operation of Maotai Airport.

关键词

RBF神经网络/多元线性回归/BP神经网络/机场能见度预测

Key words

RBF neural network/multiple linear regression/BP neural network/airport visibility prediction

分类

航空航天

引用本文复制引用

袁敏,李忠堃,洪震宇,贾志杰,吴戈..基于机器学习对机场能见度预测模型研究[J].舰船电子工程,2023,43(12):182-186,237,6.

基金项目

国家重点研发计划"交通基础设施"重点专项2021年"揭榜挂帅"榜单项目(编号:2021YFB2601701-01)资助. (编号:2021YFB2601701-01)

舰船电子工程

OACSTPCD

1672-9730

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