中国工程科学2024，Vol.26Issue(1)：239-250,12.DOI:10.15302/J-SSCAE-2024.01.018
空间资产风险评估与控制研究
Risk Assessment and Control of Space Assets
摘要
Abstract
Space assets are crucial resources for a nation,and effectively managing the various risks associated with them will help maximize their benefits,enhance their contribution to national modernization and security,and improve the strength of the space industry.First,this study clarifies the definition and scope of space assets.In a narrow sense,space assets encompass all spacecraft in orbit.Broadly speaking,space assets also comprise related physical and intangible assets.Second,potential risk sources are identified from multiple dimensions and categorized into technical risks(such as collision disintegration,explosive disintegration,and load failure),military risks(including the use of spacecraft as weapons or weapon platforms),and management risks(referring mainly to mismatches in management systems,leading to loss of intangible assets).Subsequently,this study explores a quantitative assessment method for the technical risks,establishes a model for quantifying space asset values,and briefly analyzes possible risk control methods.Furthermore,a preliminary classification model for risk events is proposed along with several considerations including establishment of systems and mechanisms,formulation of response plans,responsibility allocation,and implementation and supervision of disposal actions.关键词
空间资产/风险评估/价值模型/风险控制/风险分级Key words
space assets/risk assessment/value model/risk control/risk classification分类
航空航天引用本文复制引用
张东江,高智杰,杨志涛,张馨文,蓝鼎..空间资产风险评估与控制研究[J].中国工程科学,2024,26(1):239-250,12.基金项目
中国工程院咨询项目"新时代我国空间资产管理效益、风险控制与可持续发展研究"(2022-HZ-17) Chinese Academy of Engineering project"Research on the Efficiency,Risk Control and Sustainable Development of China's Space Assets Management in the New Era"(2022-HZ-17) （2022-HZ-17）
